Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 1.52%.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Mean CAGR: 179.08%. Time in market: 4 years 300 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.812. Maximum drawdown: 41.40% on 24 April 2026.

About this Chart's Calculations for Vail Resorts

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (84.62% * 6.39%) - (15.38% * 25.24%) = 1.52%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 7 8 8
2025 14 14
2024 13 22 40 72
2023 13 13 14 68
2022 26 28 47 54 59
2019 24 25 26 33 82
Avg. Days 16 18 27 56 70
CAGR 204.4% 225.9% 165.8% 86.1% 158.7%

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026 $128.09 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 February 2026 $131.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 December 2025 $134.23 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2025 $148.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
11 February 2025 $165.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 October 2024 $169.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
07 August 2024 $169.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
03 July 2024 $173.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
29 May 2024 $186.86 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 April 2024 $206.07 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 October 2023 $207.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
23 September 2022 $208.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2022 $223.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
18 February 2022 $265.91 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 March 2020 $195.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 January 2019 $178.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026 $128.09
02 February 2026 $131.78 1,173.0 1,327.5 2,611.2
30 December 2025 $134.23 256.8 356.9
04 April 2025 $148.12 39.1 48.3 63.0 90.5
11 February 2025 $165.66
22 October 2024 $169.15 155.3 206.3 141.1 187.0
07 August 2024 $169.58 826.3 162.9 165.7 231.9
03 July 2024 $173.40 256.8 119.8 51.1 25.3
29 May 2024 $186.86
19 April 2024 $206.07
03 October 2023 $207.14 293.5 413.4 558.6 66.8
23 September 2022 $208.18 404.8 591.3 75.4 106.4 208.9
16 June 2022 $223.06 52.8 58.8 73.3 76.9
18 February 2022 $265.91
05 March 2020 $195.31 21.6 14.3 18.1 24.3 35.9
11 January 2019 $178.50 110.0 134.1 176.0 187.0 125.1

The data for Vail Resorts Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MTN) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:58. Data for this ETF is available from 02 May 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.