Brown-Forman Corp (BF-B) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:             [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 2.21%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Mean CAGR: 148.69%. Time in market: 3 years 285 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.357. Maximum drawdown: 57.77% on 18 June 2025.

About this Chart's Calculations for Brown-Forman

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (93.75% * 6.06%) - (6.25% * 55.54%) = 2.21%.. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally it should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 35 41 42
2024 67 49 53
2023 31 70 93
2022 60 113 126 74
2021 38 52 311
2019 10 28 32 129
2018 57 73 76 170
2017 27 34 40 126
Avg. Days 40 57 96 124
CAGR 56.1% 58.9% 43.7% 71%

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 June 2025 $27.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
29 January 2025 $32.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
24 December 2024 $40.04 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 November 2024 $41.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
01 July 2024 $42.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
21 May 2024 $47.22 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2024 $49.02 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 March 2024 $52.91 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2023 $60.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023 $61.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
10 March 2023 $61.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
19 May 2022 $61.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022 $65.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 January 2022 $66.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 September 2021 $68.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 March 2020 $47.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2019 $44.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2018 $45.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 January 2017 $33.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 June 2025 $27.37 66.4 73.2 106.4
29 January 2025 $32.88 66.3 112.6 156.1
24 December 2024 $40.04
08 November 2024 $41.18 93.4 165.5 262.8
01 July 2024 $42.64 103.9 45.1 55.3
21 May 2024 $47.22 12.7
18 April 2024 $49.02
18 March 2024 $52.91
22 September 2023 $60.82
25 May 2023 $61.17 256.9 156.7 88.2
10 March 2023 $61.88 43.8 26.6 30.2
19 May 2022 $61.90 1,173.4 274.6 424.2 145.8
23 February 2022 $65.76 623.3 24.4 25.2
10 January 2022 $66.98 11.4 14.3 18.7
27 September 2021 $68.33 59.8 66.1 11.8
23 March 2020 $47.52 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
28 January 2019 $44.60 493.4 156.8 196.6 67.5
18 December 2018 $45.28 36.7 43.5 58.1 47.9
13 January 2017 $33.28 93.4 117.6 138.6 69.6

The data for Brown-Forman Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: BF-B) was last updated 31 Jan 2026 13:12. Data for this ETF is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jan 2026.