A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:             [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 4.76%.   Win rate: 90.0%.   Mean CAGR: 128.23%. Time in market: 3 years 9 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.408. Maximum drawdown: 36.59% on 23 March 2020.

About this Chart's Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (90% * 5.8%) - (10% * 4.57%) = 4.76%.. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally it should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 103 175 175
2022 67 124 126 184
2020 8 61 62 95
2019 5 10 11 101
2018 14 15 20 89
Avg. Days 39 77 78 117
CAGR 57.9% 40.9% 56.2% 76.6%

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 $64.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
30 January 2025 $66.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
17 December 2024 $71.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 September 2022 $52.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022 $56.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022 $61.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 February 2020 $39.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2019 $39.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2018 $41.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2018 $41.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2018 $54.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 $64.08 93.4 96.7 38.8
30 January 2025 $66.91 18.9 16.3 22.0
17 December 2024 $71.24
16 September 2022 $52.09 48.6 67.9 90.5 63.1
13 June 2022 $56.42 49.9 79.9 113.0 33.2
28 April 2022 $61.06 17.2 10.0 13.3
27 February 2020 $39.26 826.5 54.1 75.3 101.5
31 May 2019 $39.78 3,423.8 1,303.1 2,264.0 93.3
12 December 2018 $41.72 93.4 156.5 156.0 178.4
29 October 2018 $41.92 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 80.2
25 September 2018 $54.88

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 31 Jan 2026 13:10. Data for this ETF is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jan 2026.