Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (WGMI) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 6.6%.   Win rate: 97.83%.   Mean CAGR: 237.53%. Time in market: 5 years 355 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.86. Maximum drawdown: 81.07% on 28 December 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Bitcoin Miners

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (97.83% * 7.45%) - (2.17% * 31.8%) = 6.6%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 21 28 28 29 34
2025 28 29 31 45 58
2024 15 22 39 42 91
2023 36 37 38 40 80
2022 55 58 71 79 105
Avg. Days 31 34 41 47 73
CAGR 77.6% 86.9% 90.4% 109.6% 148.8%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026 $34.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 February 2026 $41.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2026 $48.47 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 December 2025 $39.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 November 2025 $40.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2025 $61.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 September 2025 $36.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 August 2025 $25.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 July 2025 $25.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 June 2025 $17.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2025 $14.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2025 $12.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2025 $17.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2025 $25.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2024 $24.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 November 2024 $25.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2024 $19.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2024 $17.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2024 $17.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 July 2024 $23.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 June 2024 $19.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 May 2024 $15.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 April 2024 $16.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2024 $17.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2024 $13.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 December 2023 $19.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2023 $9.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 October 2023 $8.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 September 2023 $10.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2023 $13.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 July 2023 $18.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 June 2023 $10.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2023 $10.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 April 2023 $8.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2023 $7.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023 $8.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2022 $4.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 November 2022 $5.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2022 $7.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2022 $9.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2022 $12.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 July 2022 $10.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022 $10.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2022 $13.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
11 April 2022 $22.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2022 $24.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026 $34.10 1,172.7 1,986.1 2,600.6 4,674.6 >10,000
24 February 2026 $41.02 43.8 54.3 71.5 103.4 221.4
21 January 2026 $48.47 1,173.8
19 December 2025 $39.88 >10,000 >10,000 373.3 674.2 1,332.3
17 November 2025 $40.54 826.6 962.3 1,786.9 4,674.2 215.0
14 October 2025 $61.39 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
12 September 2025 $36.74 8,475.6 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
11 August 2025 $25.26 8,480.7 >10,000 4,205.0 1,100.0 3,932.9
08 July 2025 $25.18 623.1 738.7 556.5 106.5 259.6
03 June 2025 $17.66 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,500.3
02 May 2025 $14.92 493.8 739.0 1,289.4 3,145.8 3,932.9
31 March 2025 $12.72 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 302.1 476.2
25 February 2025 $17.57 19.7 23.7 30.3 39.7 72.5
22 January 2025 $25.22 10.7 12.8 15.7 17.6 35.5
20 December 2024 $24.46 185.0 249.4 13.5 18.0 30.4
18 November 2024 $25.78 1,173.1 1,987.8 4,213.9 2,263.1 25.9
15 October 2024 $19.92 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
13 September 2024 $17.22 404.8 591.1 999.1 1,715.6 651.3
12 August 2024 $17.42 1,172.2 1,329.3 2,597.9 2,265.2 174.1
09 July 2024 $23.10 1,844.2 3,360.3 4,261.8 >10,000 71.0
07 June 2024 $19.18 3,425.4 6,948.7 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
06 May 2024 $15.50 227.8 312.8 479.0 386.1 755.6
02 April 2024 $16.45 32.7 40.2 50.9 72.2 155.3
01 March 2024 $17.64 98.4 24.5 31.2 40.2 89.6
29 January 2024 $13.78 493.9 592.1 1,006.7 2,265.7 >10,000
26 December 2023 $19.36 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 45.6
21 November 2023 $9.56 >10,000 >10,000 4,190.4 >10,000 >10,000
20 October 2023 $8.82 8,501.9 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 6,302.1
18 September 2023 $10.74 28.5 34.9 43.6 61.1 140.0
15 August 2023 $13.62 16.0 19.4 24.6 32.4 69.6
14 July 2023 $18.37 11.5 13.8 17.4 23.5 22.0
12 June 2023 $10.22 8,480.7 1,326.3 2,649.9 7,636.4 >10,000
09 May 2023 $10.25 257.2 175.3 215.2 128.9 370.0
06 April 2023 $8.65 8,523.9 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
06 March 2023 $7.47 405.8 590.8 1,000.9 2,263.1 8,347.8
31 January 2023 $8.82 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 152.0
30 December 2022 $4.32 8,480.7 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
28 November 2022 $5.58 1,170.3 1,985.2 83.7 120.6 338.8
24 October 2022 $7.10 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 109.5
20 September 2022 $9.23 14.2 17.2 21.7 18.7 38.4
19 August 2022 $12.12 5.8 7.0 8.8 11.6 23.0
18 July 2022 $10.30 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 2,278.2
14 June 2022 $10.04 493.4 83.5 111.8 170.2 278.4
13 May 2022 $13.45 169.1 225.9 34.0 44.8
11 April 2022 $22.00
09 March 2022 $24.34 293.4 413.6 480.7 779.9

The data for Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (exchange: XNAS symbol: WGMI) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:53. Data for this ETF is available from 09 Feb 2022 - 29 Apr 2026.