Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (WGMI) Mega Dump

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 6.68%.   Win rate: 96.77%.   Mean CAGR: 235.34%. Time in market: 4 years 132 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.305. Maximum drawdown: 80.84% on 28 December 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Bitcoin Miners

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (96.77% * 8.03%) - (3.23% * 33.72%) = 6.68%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 45 45 46 47 58
2025 19 27 62 66 112
2024 10 35 36 38 75
2023 17 18 18 42 50
2022 57 57 76 88 116
Avg. Days 29 36 47 56 82
CAGR 84.8% 80.5% 75.4% 86.1% 125.1%

Mega Dump - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 July 2026 $57.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2026 $40.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 February 2026 $42.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2025 $38.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2025 $45.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2025 $58.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 May 2025 $14.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 April 2025 $12.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 March 2025 $17.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2025 $21.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 December 2024 $24.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2024 $16.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2024 $17.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024 $15.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2024 $13.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2024 $15.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2024 $16.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2024 $17.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2023 $9.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 August 2023 $11.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2023 $9.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2023 $8.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023 $4.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2022 $5.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2022 $7.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2022 $8.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 August 2022 $11.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2022 $11.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2022 $9.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2022 $13.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
12 April 2022 $21.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2022 $24.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 July 2026 $57.16
16 March 2026 $40.36 88.9 113.8 148.7 231.9 700.1
10 February 2026 $42.95 32.7 40.2 52.0 69.4 120.8
30 December 2025 $38.90 1,845.4 3,362.9 8,070.7 >10,000 >10,000
26 November 2025 $45.54 >10,000 55.8 71.4 73.7 51.2
24 October 2025 $58.40 623.5 962.6 13.1 17.7 35.1
06 May 2025 $14.24 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
04 April 2025 $12.34 155.3 206.1 303.8 524.0 976.9
03 March 2025 $17.84 20.9 25.1 31.0 42.6 77.5
28 January 2025 $21.23 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,352.7 53.2
26 December 2024 $24.78 404.9 11.0 13.8 18.2 31.2
10 September 2024 $16.61 1,175.0 963.4 1,796.6 1,100.0 6,302.1
08 August 2024 $17.88 341.1 413.6 480.4 590.8 155.3
17 May 2024 $15.47 8,504.9 >10,000 >10,000 2,263.1 2,686.5
15 April 2024 $13.74 8,480.7 1,984.0 4,234.7 >10,000 >10,000
12 March 2024 $15.78 826.3 962.9 1,762.7 4,672.0 116.8
09 February 2024 $16.73 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
08 January 2024 $17.48 61.8 77.7 104.0 156.1 53.2
26 September 2023 $9.04 1,845.4 3,354.1 8,143.6 246.4 187.6
23 August 2023 $11.46 1,173.1 1,990.6 4,251.6 40.6 89.6
21 March 2023 $9.01 133.7 175.5 254.2 424.1 1,705.4
15 February 2023 $8.75 39.1 47.2 62.0 88.2 221.4
04 January 2023 $4.90 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
02 December 2022 $5.70 57.8 72.4 92.6 133.8 406.9
31 October 2022 $7.63 25.7 31.4 40.1 56.2 104.5
27 September 2022 $8.69 1,176.8 1,982.3 23.0 31.5 40.2
25 August 2022 $11.60 6.1 7.3 9.2 12.0 23.6
19 July 2022 $11.05 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 917.6 1,958.6
17 June 2022 $9.82 1,171.5 1,992.2 127.7 196.7 651.3
16 May 2022 $13.27 228.1 312.7 485.9 48.5
12 April 2022 $21.74
09 March 2022 $24.34 293.4 413.6 480.7 779.9

The data for Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (exchange: XNAS symbol: WGMI) was last updated 14 Jul 2026 04:31. Data for this ETF is available from 09 Feb 2022 - 13 Jul 2026.