Sprott Junior Uranium Miners (URNJ) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 6.73%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 190.64%. Time in market: 5 years 300 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.503. Maximum drawdown: 52.67% on 07 April 2025.

About this Chart's Calculations for Junior Uranium Miners

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 6.73%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.73%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 18 18 20 23 18
2025 26 27 28 31 86
2024 93 94 110 117 151
2023 38 38 42 57 92
Avg. Days 43 44 50 57 86
CAGR 51.3% 62.2% 69.5% 84.1% 116.8%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 April 2026 $33.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2026 $30.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
10 February 2026 $33.47 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 January 2026 $29.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2025 $25.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 October 2025 $28.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 September 2025 $24.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2025 $21.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2025 $20.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2025 $17.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2025 $13.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2025 $15.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2025 $18.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 January 2025 $19.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 December 2024 $22.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2024 $23.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2024 $20.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2024 $19.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 July 2024 $25.38 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
14 June 2024 $25.26 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
06 May 2024 $28.39 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 April 2024 $26.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 February 2024 $24.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 December 2023 $24.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2023 $22.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2023 $22.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023 $16.35 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2023 $16.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2023 $14.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 March 2023 $15.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2023 $17.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 April 2026 $33.22
16 March 2026 $30.04 81.1 103.2 140.8 207.2
10 February 2026 $33.47 227.9 312.8
05 January 2026 $29.31 493.8 591.6 1,004.1 916.8 3,932.9
01 December 2025 $25.54 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 338.8
27 October 2025 $28.24 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 116.8
08 September 2025 $24.86 826.3 739.3 995.9 1,100.0 892.2
05 August 2025 $21.38 133.5 175.4 250.6 326.1 406.9
24 June 2025 $20.38 124.6 152.1 214.2 246.5 155.3
23 May 2025 $17.72 8,480.7 >10,000 373.0 326.1 242.9
21 April 2025 $13.74 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 6,302.1
18 March 2025 $15.31 48.6 53.0 69.7 97.8 158.7
14 February 2025 $18.40 15.7 19.1 24.1 33.0 54.1
13 January 2025 $19.40 623.7 963.0 1,779.8 4,676.6 33.9
10 December 2024 $22.14 7.0 8.5 10.6 13.9 26.5
07 November 2024 $23.14 6.1 7.3 9.0 11.8 23.2
20 September 2024 $20.21 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,193.0
19 August 2024 $19.30 1,172.3 1,985.4 4,211.1 162.9 353.8
16 July 2024 $25.38
14 June 2024 $25.26
06 May 2024 $28.39 257.0 312.7
02 April 2024 $26.90 68.8 83.6 73.2 106.4
27 February 2024 $24.90 68.9 83.6 112.4 162.9 122.9
22 December 2023 $24.06 143.6 175.4 250.4 424.1 406.9
07 November 2023 $22.24 1,173.8 1,986.5 1,295.3 3,144.6 174.1
06 October 2023 $22.78 54.4 68.0 90.2 120.5 98.6
07 July 2023 $16.35 1,843.0 3,365.1 112.2 116.7 203.1
05 June 2023 $16.70 825.7 1,326.4 2,624.9 56.2 106.1
02 May 2023 $14.56 1,845.4 3,368.4 4,213.5 7,636.4 387.7
30 March 2023 $15.25 54.4 68.0 90.0 64.4 58.2
27 February 2023 $17.32 10.6 12.9 16.1 21.1 40.2

The data for Sprott Junior Uranium Miners (exchange: XNAS symbol: URNJ) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:53. Data for this ETF is available from 02 Feb 2023 - 29 Apr 2026.