Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 7.22%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 189.41%. Time in market: 151 days.
Sharpe Ratio: 5.007. Maximum drawdown: 12.72% on 12 August 2024.

About this Chart's Calculations for Ulta Beauty

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 7.22%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.22%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2024 54 54 55 56 154
2023 32 32 32 47 48
2019 17 20 20 21 125
2017 23 24 82 88 202
Avg. Days 31 32 47 53 132
CAGR 77.6% 94.4% 75.4% 92.8% 65.6%

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 July 2024 $367.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 October 2023 $381.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020 $198.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2019 $228.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2017 $195.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 August 2017 $213.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 July 2024 $367.65 39.1 48.3 61.6 86.1 54.1
13 October 2023 $381.22 74.5 94.4 128.2 109.6 300.0
12 March 2020 $198.73 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 106.4 140.0
10 September 2019 $228.46 185.1 189.6 274.2 424.1 70.3
12 October 2017 $195.84 66.3 83.6 112.6 109.6 125.1
25 August 2017 $213.90 341.1 413.5 22.5 30.7 23.0

The data for Ulta Beauty Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ULTA) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:56. Data for this ETF is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.