iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:             [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: -1.25%.   Win rate: 42.86%.   Mean CAGR: -0.51%. Time in market: 11 years 105 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -13.73. Maximum drawdown: 5.31% on 08 March 2023.

About this Chart's Calculations for 1-3 Year Treasury Bonds

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (42.86% * 0.57%) - (57.14% * 2.62%) = -1.25%.. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally it should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

 

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

No profit probability projections have been recorded for this ETF.

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 March 2023 $80.55 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
19 October 2022 $80.84 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
13 September 2022 $81.80 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $82.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 April 2022 $83.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2022 $84.26 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 January 2022 $85.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 March 2023 $80.55
19 October 2022 $80.84
13 September 2022 $81.80
10 June 2022 $82.64
11 April 2022 $83.06
09 March 2022 $84.26
18 January 2022 $85.06

The data for iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (exchange: XNAS symbol: SHY) was last updated 31 Jan 2026 13:03. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 30 Jan 2026.