Sprott Nickel Miners (Global) (NIKL) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 0.38%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Mean CAGR: 124.42%. Time in market: 11 years 158 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.676. Maximum drawdown: 64.94% on 09 April 2025.

About this Chart's Calculations for Global Nickel Miners

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (83.33% * 6.1%) - (16.67% * 28.23%) = 0.38%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 15 15 18 23
2025 39 42 45 48 73
2024 108 111 114 122 187
2023 51 74 82 97
Avg. Days 53 60 64 72 130
CAGR 39.9% 42.5% 51.1% 62.1% 66.8%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 April 2026 $17.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2026 $16.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
10 February 2026 $17.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
12 December 2025 $13.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2025 $13.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2025 $11.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 June 2025 $11.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2025 $9.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2025 $8.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2025 $9.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2025 $10.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2024 $10.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 November 2024 $12.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2024 $12.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 July 2024 $12.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
21 June 2024 $13.13 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
21 February 2024 $12.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2024 $12.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2023 $13.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
14 November 2023 $18.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2023 $17.81 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 September 2023 $20.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 August 2023 $21.68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 July 2023 $21.91 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 May 2023 $20.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 April 2026 $17.72
16 March 2026 $16.27 84.9 108.2 148.4 196.6
10 February 2026 $17.78 >10,000 >10,000 2,617.5 917.4
12 December 2025 $13.89 493.0 738.4 1,005.6 1,716.7 1,499.8
10 November 2025 $13.93 52.9 65.9 84.3 120.5 228.2
05 August 2025 $11.99 827.7 189.8 156.3 207.1 259.5
26 June 2025 $11.23 1,175.9 357.0 478.5 302.1 127.4
05 May 2025 $9.59 825.1 591.0 550.8 591.3 818.9
01 April 2025 $8.93 77.7 86.9 112.2 162.8 228.1
28 February 2025 $9.51 27.7 33.3 40.7 51.3 100.0
27 January 2025 $10.53 15.2 18.2 22.9 31.2 46.0
24 December 2024 $10.65 11.6 14.0 17.8 23.8 37.1
05 November 2024 $12.65 6.0 7.0 8.8 11.3 22.3
26 August 2024 $12.34 84.8 108.3 148.3 207.3
23 July 2024 $12.61 32.7 38.7 50.4 64.4
21 June 2024 $13.13 19.1
21 February 2024 $12.25 341.6 312.8 252.1 120.5 116.8
19 January 2024 $12.97 24.6 30.0 32.1 41.1 72.5
18 December 2023 $13.54 14.7 17.3 19.6 25.9
14 November 2023 $18.14
11 October 2023 $17.81
06 September 2023 $20.14
04 August 2023 $21.68
03 July 2023 $21.91 493.8
30 May 2023 $20.29 256.6 312.7 372.6 124.6

The data for Sprott Nickel Miners (Global) (exchange: XNAS symbol: NIKL) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:51. Data for this ETF is available from 22 Mar 2023 - 29 Apr 2026.