Direxion Work From Home (WFH) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 1.95%.   Win rate: 86.96%.   Mean CAGR: 140.82%. Time in market: 10 years 145 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.059. Maximum drawdown: 47.10% on 09 November 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Work from Home

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (86.96% * 5.3%) - (13.04% * 20.4%) = 1.95%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 48 51 58 103 189
2024 7 11 14 42 90
2023 17 42 46 72 146
2022 63 82 101 126 210
2021 21 22 24 36
Avg. Days 31 41 48 75 158
CAGR 77.6% 68% 73.3% 59% 52.4%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 May 2025 $64.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
15 April 2025 $55.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2025 $60.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2024 $52.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2023 $45.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 September 2023 $47.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2023 $48.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2023 $42.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2023 $42.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023 $44.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 December 2022 $40.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2022 $41.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2022 $42.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2022 $46.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
15 August 2022 $52.51 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
12 July 2022 $48.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $49.55 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 May 2022 $51.28 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
05 April 2022 $66.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 March 2022 $62.82 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 January 2022 $66.01 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021 $73.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 May 2021 $68.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 May 2025 $64.70 59.8 65.9 69.5 33.0
15 April 2025 $55.39 493.4 413.4 420.6 674.1 259.6
14 March 2025 $60.47 35.2 42.5 48.3 51.3 42.2
08 August 2024 $52.10 1,173.2 591.4 560.1 128.9 109.5
31 October 2023 $45.12 1,173.2 356.8 557.9 386.1 288.9
29 September 2023 $47.79 34.6 42.5 53.0 60.0 65.6
22 August 2023 $48.60 493.5 23.7 26.6 35.7 41.7
08 May 2023 $42.22 493.4 591.1 558.7 590.7 174.1
15 March 2023 $42.73 204.4 36.7 44.3 62.1 70.3
31 January 2023 $44.12 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 29.9 23.4
29 December 2022 $40.03 227.9 312.9 187.2 246.4 54.5
21 November 2022 $41.64 124.7 38.0 44.2 61.1 38.1
18 October 2022 $42.55 93.4 22.5 28.3 38.8 27.7
16 September 2022 $46.22 6.8 8.2 10.2 12.3
15 August 2022 $52.51
12 July 2022 $48.14 124.7 108.2 141.3
10 June 2022 $49.55 33.3 37.4
09 May 2022 $51.28
05 April 2022 $66.62
04 March 2022 $62.82 103.9 134.1
31 January 2022 $66.01
07 December 2021 $73.58
17 May 2021 $68.19 133.5 162.9 200.2 162.8

The data for Direxion Work From Home (exchange: ARCX symbol: WFH) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 15:04. Data for this ETF is available from 19 Feb 2021 - 30 Oct 2025.