United States Commodity Index Fund (USCI) 50 Day Lows
About this Chart's Calculations for United States Commodities
Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (69.23% * 4.54%) - (30.77% * 19.9%) = -2.98%. To be a profitable trader
you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be
a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections
This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.
| Date |
Days to Reach Profit Target |
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 2024 |
44 |
66 |
79 |
120 |
202 |
| 2023 |
74 |
112 |
117 |
141 |
336 |
| 2022 |
9 |
10 |
38 |
45 |
|
| 2021 |
38 |
42 |
45 |
49 |
151 |
| 2020 |
346 |
349 |
351 |
359 |
|
| 2017 |
165 |
168 |
192 |
220 |
|
| 2015 |
114 |
85 |
88 |
1 |
1 |
| 2013 |
83 |
93 |
200 |
245 |
|
| 2012 |
66 |
66 |
120 |
|
|
| 2011 |
62 |
72 |
51 |
69 |
|
| Avg. Days |
100
|
106
|
128
|
138
|
172
|
| CAGR |
19.5%
|
22.2%
|
22.9%
|
28.7%
|
47.2%
|
50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to
see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date |
Price |
Performance (mouseover for details) |
|
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 07 April 2025 |
$66.80
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 06 September 2024 |
$59.00
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 29 July 2024 |
$60.74
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 06 December 2023 |
$55.70
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 05 October 2023 |
$56.38
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 04 May 2023 |
$51.88
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 24 February 2023 |
$53.73
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 26 September 2022 |
$51.40
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 24 June 2022 |
$55.87
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 20 August 2021 |
$38.66
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 20 August 2021 |
$38.66
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 25 February 2020 |
$32.75
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 24 January 2020 |
$34.86
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 20 November 2019 |
$35.40
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 23 July 2019 |
$36.25
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 31 May 2019 |
$36.53
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 26 April 2019 |
$38.42
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 19 December 2018 |
$38.10
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 31 October 2018 |
$41.11
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 13 August 2018 |
$41.33
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 21 June 2018 |
$43.02
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 06 June 2017 |
$37.90
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 05 May 2017 |
$38.34
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 02 March 2017 |
$39.82
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 22 December 2016 |
$40.43
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 06 October 2016 |
$41.02
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 31 August 2016 |
$41.54
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 16 December 2015 |
$40.00
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 05 November 2015 |
$41.30
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 24 August 2015 |
$41.60
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 21 July 2015 |
$45.56
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 06 May 2015 |
$35.57
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 10 March 2015 |
$45.72
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 09 January 2015 |
$48.09
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 01 December 2014 |
$53.11
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 27 October 2014 |
$53.59
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 18 September 2014 |
$55.76
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 13 August 2014 |
$56.84
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 09 July 2014 |
$59.59
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 01 November 2013 |
$55.19
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 24 June 2013 |
$53.86
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 02 April 2013 |
$56.62
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 27 February 2013 |
$57.90
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 04 January 2013 |
$58.14
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 22 October 2012 |
$59.98
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 14 May 2012 |
$58.04
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 10 April 2012 |
$60.96
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 14 December 2011 |
$57.48
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 22 September 2011 |
$60.31
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 08 August 2011 |
$61.74
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 20 June 2011 |
$64.82
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 05 May 2011 |
$66.12
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year.
Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF
at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude
dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.
| Date |
Price |
Gains / CAGR |
|
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 07 April 2025 |
$66.80
|
204.3
|
225.9
|
104.0
|
69.4
|
26.8
|
| 06 September 2024 |
$59.00
|
169.0
|
206.3
|
166.1
|
53.6
|
52.8
|
| 29 July 2024 |
$60.74
|
29.0
|
20.5
|
22.1
|
24.3
|
30.9
|
| 06 December 2023 |
$55.70
|
20.2
|
24.2
|
30.2
|
34.6
|
|
| 05 October 2023 |
$56.38
|
293.5
|
14.1
|
16.7
|
21.2
|
|
| 04 May 2023 |
$51.88
|
52.8
|
64.0
|
73.2
|
57.1
|
21.9
|
| 24 February 2023 |
$53.73
|
13.1
|
15.7
|
19.2
|
20.2
|
|
| 26 September 2022 |
$51.40
|
623.5
|
739.0
|
100.3
|
116.7
|
|
| 24 June 2022 |
$55.87
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 August 2021 |
$38.66
|
59.8
|
65.9
|
79.6
|
103.4
|
55.4
|
| 20 August 2021 |
$38.66
|
59.8
|
65.9
|
79.6
|
103.4
|
54.9
|
| 25 February 2020 |
$32.75
|
5.3
|
6.3
|
7.8
|
10.2
|
|
| 24 January 2020 |
$34.86
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 November 2019 |
$35.40
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 23 July 2019 |
$36.25
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 31 May 2019 |
$36.53
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 26 April 2019 |
$38.42
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19 December 2018 |
$38.10
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 31 October 2018 |
$41.11
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 August 2018 |
$41.33
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 June 2018 |
$43.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 06 June 2017 |
$37.90
|
25.3
|
28.1
|
35.4
|
18.7
|
|
| 05 May 2017 |
$38.34
|
16.3
|
19.6
|
15.4
|
15.8
|
|
| 02 March 2017 |
$39.82
|
6.1
|
7.3
|
9.0
|
|
|
| 22 December 2016 |
$40.43
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 06 October 2016 |
$41.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 31 August 2016 |
$41.54
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 16 December 2015 |
$40.00
|
15.1
|
13.3
|
16.3
|
|
|
| 05 November 2015 |
$41.30
|
8.6
|
|
|
|
|
| 24 August 2015 |
$41.60
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 July 2015 |
$45.56
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 06 May 2015 |
$35.57
|
>10,000
|
>10,000
|
>10,000
|
>10,000
|
>10,000
|
| 10 March 2015 |
$45.72
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 09 January 2015 |
$48.09
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 01 December 2014 |
$53.11
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 27 October 2014 |
$53.59
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 18 September 2014 |
$55.76
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 August 2014 |
$56.84
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 09 July 2014 |
$59.59
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 01 November 2013 |
$55.19
|
17.6
|
18.7
|
17.9
|
18.9
|
|
| 24 June 2013 |
$53.86
|
37.4
|
40.2
|
11.6
|
12.7
|
|
| 02 April 2013 |
$56.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 27 February 2013 |
$57.90
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 04 January 2013 |
$58.14
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 October 2012 |
$59.98
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 May 2012 |
$58.04
|
31.0
|
38.0
|
24.6
|
|
|
| 10 April 2012 |
$60.96
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 December 2011 |
$57.48
|
133.5
|
70.2
|
67.8
|
65.6
|
|
| 22 September 2011 |
$60.31
|
12.4
|
14.8
|
|
|
|
| 08 August 2011 |
$61.74
|
227.8
|
162.9
|
|
|
|
| 20 June 2011 |
$64.82
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 05 May 2011 |
$66.12
|
|
|
|
|
|
The data for United States Commodity Index Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: USCI) was last updated 22 Apr 2026 11:19.
Data for this ETF is available from 10 Aug 2010 - 21 Apr 2026.
ETF Sector Data aims to be the #1 online resource for anyone interested in ETF sector investment rotation strategies.
All of the stocks featured on this website are widely available US listed exchange traded funds.
To make price and performance comparisons more straightforward, all stock prices are listed in US dollars.