United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) 50 Day Lows
About this Chart's Calculations for Gasoline
Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 6.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.16%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections
This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.
| Date | Days to Reach Profit Target | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | ||||||
| 2025 | 19 | 24 | 28 | 58 | 191 | |||||
| 2024 | 98 | 98 | ||||||||
| 2023 | 63 | 65 | 70 | 41 | 106 | |||||
| 2022 | 54 | 54 | 139 | 37 | 182 | |||||
| 2021 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 45 | |||||
| Avg. Days | 48 | 49 | 61 | 38 | 131 | |||||
| CAGR | 44.9% | 54.3% | 54.1% | 149.8% | 66.2% | |||||
50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||||||
| 16 December 2025 | $60.98 | ||||||||||
| 10 October 2025 | $61.30 | ||||||||||
| 07 April 2025 | $56.90 | ||||||||||
| 05 March 2025 | $59.70 | ||||||||||
| 19 August 2024 | $62.95 | ||||||||||
| 14 May 2024 | $65.60 | ||||||||||
| 12 December 2023 | $57.64 | ||||||||||
| 08 November 2023 | $61.14 | ||||||||||
| 03 October 2023 | $66.90 | ||||||||||
| 03 May 2023 | $54.31 | ||||||||||
| 07 December 2022 | $51.14 | ||||||||||
| 30 August 2022 | $55.96 | ||||||||||
| 13 July 2022 | $61.24 | ||||||||||
| 30 November 2021 | $36.16 | ||||||||||
| 19 August 2021 | $33.48 | ||||||||||
50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.
| Date | Price | Gains / CAGR | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | ||||
| 16 December 2025 | $60.98 | 110.0 | 113.7 | 108.1 | 124.6 | 140.0 | ||
| 10 October 2025 | $61.30 | 293.4 | 225.9 | 214.9 | 281.2 | 59.8 | ||
| 07 April 2025 | $56.90 | 66.3 | 83.6 | 104.3 | 68.1 | 35.9 | ||
| 05 March 2025 | $59.70 | 133.5 | 126.6 | 165.7 | 39.3 | 20.6 | ||
| 19 August 2024 | $62.95 | 12.8 | 15.5 | |||||
| 14 May 2024 | $65.60 | 44.9 | 54.3 | |||||
| 12 December 2023 | $57.64 | >10,000 | >10,000 | 8,060.1 | 7,639.2 | 104.5 | ||
| 08 November 2023 | $61.14 | 25.7 | 31.3 | 39.7 | 43.7 | 53.2 | ||
| 03 October 2023 | $66.90 | 11.3 | 13.7 | 15.5 | ||||
| 03 May 2023 | $54.31 | 1,173.7 | 356.9 | 558.0 | 469.4 | 158.7 | ||
| 07 December 2022 | $51.14 | 256.8 | 356.7 | 421.6 | 779.6 | 406.9 | ||
| 30 August 2022 | $55.96 | 64.0 | 77.7 | 100.2 | 82.2 | 22.8 | ||
| 13 July 2022 | $61.24 | 17.1 | 20.7 | 7.5 | ||||
| 30 November 2021 | $36.16 | 1,172.7 | 1,987.3 | 2,618.6 | 353.9 | 370.0 | ||
| 19 August 2021 | $33.48 | 1,845.4 | 3,364.1 | 8,027.3 | 916.8 | 312.0 | ||
The data for United States Gasoline Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: UGA) was last updated 21 Jul 2026 05:40. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 15 Jul 2026.