iShares MSCI Thailand (THD) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 3.21%.   Win rate: 94.12%.   Mean CAGR: 96.47%. Time in market: 7 years 249 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.594. Maximum drawdown: 26.73% on 04 March 2025.

About this Chart's Calculations for Thailand

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (94.12% * 5.07%) - (5.88% * 26.51%) = 3.21%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 189 190 191 24 79
2024 140 142 142 143 77
2023 128 151 215 322
2022 33 33 69 112 131
2021 41 138 143 75
Avg. Days 106 130 152 135 95
CAGR 18.3% 17.8% 19% 29.4% 101.5%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 June 2025 $50.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2025 $49.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2025 $59.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
24 December 2024 $60.79 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
18 November 2024 $63.25 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
21 June 2024 $54.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2024 $59.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 October 2023 $59.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
25 September 2023 $64.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
30 June 2023 $65.73 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
03 March 2023 $72.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2022 $65.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022 $65.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2022 $67.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
04 January 2022 $76.76 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 December 2021 $73.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
13 July 2021 $75.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 June 2025 $50.58 133.5 175.4 215.3 326.2 132.2
09 April 2025 $49.59 1,846.6 356.7 274.4 424.1 54.9
27 January 2025 $59.27 5.1 6.1 7.6
24 December 2024 $60.79
18 November 2024 $63.25
21 June 2024 $54.50 37.4 43.4 56.4 76.9 137.3
24 January 2024 $59.89 8.2 9.9 12.4 16.6
27 October 2023 $59.96 1,845.0 42.5 49.1 11.4
25 September 2023 $64.59 5.1 6.0 7.5
30 June 2023 $65.73 169.0 113.7
03 March 2023 $72.20
04 October 2022 $65.60 68.8 80.5 108.3 156.1 100.0
26 July 2022 $65.92 623.3 413.4 558.0 36.8 49.3
23 June 2022 $67.95 44.9 53.0 18.1 20.3
04 January 2022 $76.76 51.3
02 December 2021 $73.24 68.8 37.4 46.6 59.0
13 July 2021 $75.30 44.9 10.7 12.9

The data for iShares MSCI Thailand (exchange: ARCX symbol: THD) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:59. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.