VanEck Steel (SLX) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.87%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 132.24%. Time in market: 7 years 53 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -8.468. Maximum drawdown: 26.03% on 26 September 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Global Steel Producers

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 5.87%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.87%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 47 56 63 91 159
2024 94 103 135 183
2023 30 60 86 122 196
2022 79 82 84 95 106
2021 77 80 111 144 98
Avg. Days 65 76 95 127 139
CAGR 31.5% 32.3% 32% 31.5% 61.4%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 September 2025 $70.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2025 $67.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2025 $63.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2025 $54.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 February 2025 $62.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2025 $58.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024 $69.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 September 2024 $70.90 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
26 August 2024 $67.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 July 2024 $68.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
20 June 2024 $65.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
22 January 2024 $68.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 October 2023 $61.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2023 $64.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 May 2023 $58.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2023 $62.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 March 2023 $61.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023 $65.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
22 December 2022 $58.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022 $51.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2022 $55.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2022 $54.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 July 2022 $47.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2022 $62.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
28 April 2022 $63.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
01 March 2022 $60.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 January 2022 $52.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 December 2021 $52.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2021 $56.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021 $56.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 August 2021 $62.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
29 June 2021 $61.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 May 2021 $62.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
05 March 2021 $51.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2021 $44.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 September 2025 $70.89 93.4 108.2 82.3 109.6 104.5
06 August 2025 $67.38 204.4 103.2 90.3 82.2 80.2
13 May 2025 $63.70 42.8 53.0 69.5 82.2 50.0
09 April 2025 $54.96 256.8 356.8 481.9 469.5 132.2
07 February 2025 $62.20 15.7 16.4 20.0 27.1 31.8
06 January 2025 $58.76 110.0 98.6 112.5 25.9 43.3
19 November 2024 $69.14 7.5 9.0 8.6 10.8
27 September 2024 $70.90
26 August 2024 $67.10 74.5 34.9 45.1 62.1
23 July 2024 $68.31 18.5 22.2 28.3
20 June 2024 $65.90 103.9 126.6 30.5 28.4
22 January 2024 $68.40 31.5 35.5 40.2
25 October 2023 $61.14 1,173.4 1,986.8 1,002.0 469.5 228.2
16 August 2023 $64.90 204.4 22.9 28.3 34.0
23 May 2023 $58.86 204.4 163.0 231.6 100.5 38.6
21 April 2023 $62.02 24.3 29.6 37.5 44.2 30.6
21 March 2023 $61.08 124.7 20.7 26.3 33.6 27.4
24 January 2023 $65.47 59.8 75.0 15.5 11.2
22 December 2022 $58.38 169.0 206.3 273.9 424.2 36.3
14 October 2022 $51.16 493.5 488.6 274.7 326.1 324.9
12 September 2022 $55.72 35.2 40.9 52.0 56.2 63.7
09 August 2022 $54.72 21.1 25.7 31.7 43.1 48.6
06 July 2022 $47.26 227.8 206.3 250.9 386.1 504.1
01 June 2022 $62.95 7.8 9.3 11.7 13.5
28 April 2022 $63.30 6.8 8.1 10.1 12.0
01 March 2022 $60.58 >10,000 249.5 274.5 424.2
27 January 2022 $52.63 404.9 591.4 803.6 1,352.7 569.5
23 December 2021 $52.46 227.8 189.6 274.3 106.4 158.7
29 October 2021 $56.37 15.9 19.0 24.0 32.7 58.2
27 September 2021 $56.28 12.3 14.8 18.7 25.2 45.6
24 August 2021 $62.95 8.9 10.7 13.3 17.8
29 June 2021 $61.70 81.0 103.2 84.7 13.9
27 May 2021 $62.80 26.4 32.3 9.2 12.3
05 March 2021 $51.52 1,173.4 126.6 176.1 207.2 197.7
01 February 2021 $44.52 1,173.1 962.2 481.4 590.8 476.2

The data for VanEck Steel (exchange: ARCX symbol: SLX) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:58. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.