SPDR Silver Shares ETF (SLV) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.69%.   Win rate: 97.22%.   Mean CAGR: 166.88%. Time in market: 6 years 263 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.325. Maximum drawdown: 31.70% on 01 September 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Silver

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (97.22% * 6.22%) - (2.78% * 12.98%) = 5.69%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 13 13 15 17
2025 12 13 15 28 74
2024 47 64 71 80 237
2023 35 37 56 151 219
2022 64 77 78 107 87
2021 80 60 57 38
Avg. Days 41 44 48 70 154
CAGR 54.4% 62.2% 73.3% 64.4% 54.1%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026 $74.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
02 December 2025 $52.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2025 $44.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2025 $29.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2025 $27.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2025 $27.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2024 $27.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 November 2024 $28.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2024 $26.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 July 2024 $28.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 June 2024 $27.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2024 $24.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2023 $21.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2023 $21.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2023 $21.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023 $20.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 July 2023 $21.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023 $21.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2023 $21.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
21 February 2023 $20.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
25 October 2022 $17.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 $17.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2022 $17.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2022 $17.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 June 2022 $20.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
05 May 2022 $21.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
11 February 2022 $21.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 January 2022 $20.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
07 December 2021 $20.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
01 October 2021 $20.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
30 August 2021 $22.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
27 July 2021 $23.13 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
23 June 2021 $23.99 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 April 2021 $23.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 March 2021 $24.65 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 January 2021 $24.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026 $74.06 293.5 413.5 481.2 674.1
02 December 2025 $52.98 623.3 962.6 1,773.7 916.8 2,278.2
30 October 2025 $44.01 341.2 413.6 661.5 231.9 651.3
13 May 2025 $29.81 133.6 152.2 215.8 326.1 81.2
09 April 2025 $27.84 3,424.4 1,986.6 557.5 90.5 162.3
27 January 2025 $27.48 826.3 1,328.0 333.1 116.6 64.9
24 December 2024 $27.01 61.8 77.7 87.7 95.2 50.4
18 November 2024 $28.28 22.4 20.5 25.8 30.7 32.7
19 August 2024 $26.64 88.9 94.3 108.3 78.6 25.8
16 July 2024 $28.32 20.9 25.4 31.2 42.6 20.3
12 June 2024 $27.26 84.8 22.5 22.9 31.2 20.4
03 May 2024 $24.22 1,846.6 1,987.4 1,000.4 1,716.7 3,932.9
13 December 2023 $21.26 22.2 26.3 32.7 36.8 75.8
23 October 2023 $21.12 68.8 87.0 112.7 24.0 48.6
19 September 2023 $21.32 29.9 36.7 45.8 19.4 38.8
17 August 2023 $20.93 1,848.1 488.6 662.1 39.7 32.7
05 July 2023 $21.26 825.8 1,327.8 661.9 13.6 26.9
31 May 2023 $21.50 51.3 62.1 15.5 12.0 23.4
27 March 2023 $21.15 827.3 1,327.5 1,791.0 779.6
21 February 2023 $20.10 81.1 98.6 104.3 128.9
25 October 2022 $17.78 622.9 962.2 803.9 917.4 353.8
23 September 2022 $17.50 493.5 738.8 997.2 2,263.1 162.3
22 August 2022 $17.48 52.8 65.9 85.1 124.6 93.3
19 July 2022 $17.30 623.7 739.3 659.4 57.1 64.3
07 June 2022 $20.40 10.2 12.0 15.0 12.3
05 May 2022 $21.05 7.6 6.6 8.2 10.7
11 February 2022 $21.56 293.4 226.0 332.5 302.2
10 January 2022 $20.68 623.3 962.8 1,298.6 116.6
07 December 2021 $20.74 51.3 64.0 82.1 55.3
01 October 2021 $20.82 169.0 206.2 251.1 144.0
30 August 2021 $22.30 10.1 11.9 15.0
27 July 2021 $23.13 8.3
23 June 2021 $23.99
05 April 2021 $23.06 204.3 113.7 133.8 196.6
02 March 2021 $24.65 26.0 31.8
28 January 2021 $24.62 8,473.1 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000

The data for SPDR Silver Shares ETF (exchange: ARCX symbol: SLV) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:57. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.