SPDR S&P Insurance (US) (KIE) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.22%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 120.48%. Time in market: 3 years 47 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.897. Maximum drawdown: 39.28% on 23 March 2020.

About this Chart's Calculations for US Insurance Companies

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 5.22%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.22%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 16 17 21
2025 38 64 53 52
2023 133 133 188 256 342
2022 25 30 67 96 137
2021 34 95 99 106
2018 74 117 130 134 203
2017 31 41 84 138
2016 42 62 66 108 166
Avg. Days 49 69 88 127 212
CAGR 43.8% 36.1% 35% 31.5% 36.9%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026 $54.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 February 2026 $56.68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 January 2026 $58.04 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 October 2025 $56.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 July 2025 $56.96 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 April 2025 $53.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 January 2025 $54.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 March 2023 $40.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 $36.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022 $37.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
12 May 2022 $37.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
07 March 2022 $38.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
08 July 2021 $37.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 February 2020 $34.42 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
11 December 2018 $28.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2018 $29.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 June 2018 $28.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
06 February 2018 $28.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
05 September 2017 $27.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
24 June 2016 $21.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026 $54.14 204.4 249.4 251.4
24 February 2026 $56.68
23 January 2026 $58.04
17 October 2025 $56.52 59.8 72.5 57.7
29 July 2025 $56.96 29.4 17.1
07 April 2025 $53.86 1,172.8 1,987.2 156.4 170.2
10 January 2025 $54.56 1,173.1 226.0 73.3 95.2
10 March 2023 $40.17 14.3 17.3 15.1 14.6 21.5
23 September 2022 $36.40 133.5 134.1 187.5 170.2 62.5
14 June 2022 $37.04 36.7 44.3 56.5 28.7
12 May 2022 $37.84 227.8 126.6 16.7 19.8
07 March 2022 $38.38 493.6 357.0 480.1 424.2
08 July 2021 $37.57 68.9 25.1 30.6 38.8
26 February 2020 $34.42
11 December 2018 $28.05 40.9 47.2 50.9 54.5 38.8
11 October 2018 $29.77 10.2 12.0 14.1 15.8
27 June 2018 $28.63 81.0 86.9 61.5 49.9
06 February 2018 $28.76 77.6 11.7 13.9
05 September 2017 $27.36 77.6 68.0 37.0 28.7
24 June 2016 $21.36 52.8 40.9 49.3 38.0 49.3

The data for SPDR S&P Insurance (US) (exchange: ARCX symbol: KIE) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:00. Data for this ETF is available from 11 Feb 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.