iShares US Real Estate (IYR) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 4.81%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 55.66%. Time in market: 4 years 349 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -3.171. Maximum drawdown: 13.83% on 13 October 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for US Real Estate

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 4.81%) - (0% * 0%) = 4.81%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 88 90 63
2024 90 90 91 102 154
2023 67 71 123 131 194
2022 78 41 47 61
2021 22 24 69 90
Avg. Days 69 63 78 96 174
CAGR 29.4% 40.2% 40.3% 43.7% 46.6%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 December 2025 $93.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 October 2025 $94.04 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2025 $90.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
17 December 2024 $96.13 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
04 November 2024 $97.96 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
12 April 2024 $85.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023 $73.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2023 $81.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2023 $83.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
20 September 2022 $89.92 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $92.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
09 May 2022 $97.33 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2022 $100.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 January 2022 $106.41 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021 $103.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 December 2025 $93.88 37.4 44.3 52.1
13 October 2025 $94.04 16.0 19.0
04 April 2025 $90.76 30.4 21.5 27.1 11.6
17 December 2024 $96.13
04 November 2024 $97.96
12 April 2024 $85.10 21.9 26.7 33.6 40.6 54.1
25 October 2023 $73.74 1,173.1 1,327.2 2,609.5 469.4 288.9
21 September 2023 $81.91 27.6 29.6 38.0 52.1 21.6
10 March 2023 $83.42 15.6 18.7 9.9 12.7
20 September 2022 $89.92 14.2
10 June 2022 $92.98 44.9 54.3 54.2 69.4
09 May 2022 $97.33 19.9
23 February 2022 $100.34 116.9 90.5 117.4 86.1
20 January 2022 $106.41 21.6
28 September 2021 $103.31 124.7 142.6 46.6 47.2

The data for iShares US Real Estate (exchange: ARCX symbol: IYR) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:49. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.