iShares US Real Estate (IYR) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 2.79%.   Win rate: 95.31%.   Mean CAGR: 85.35%. Time in market: 21 years 305 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -3.497. Maximum drawdown: 71.14% on 09 March 2009.

About this Chart's Calculations for US Real Estate

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (95.31% * 5.32%) - (4.69% * 48.58%) = 2.79%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 16 21 23 27
2025 88 90 124
2024 90 90 91 102 154
2023 67 71 123 131 194
2022 78 41 47 61
2021 21 23 45 62 123
2020 6 8 161 187 102
2019 51 56 77 80
2018 106 107 127 105 220
2016 179 90 115 192 181
2015 114 136 233 252 311
2014 43 46 67 95
2013 141 145 158 139 264
2012 47 56 61 99 253
2011 93 93 100 125 108
2010 7 16 16 44 133
2009 26 26 30 33 43
2008 39 52 42 51 166
2007 70 70 73
2006 47 49 56 79 162
2005 34 61 79 88 151
2004 132 137 138 148 221
2003 58 70 83 90 162
2002 176 195 202 260 246
2001 57 78 105 125 348
2000 60 67 68 197 302
Avg. Days 71 72 94 115 192
CAGR 28.5% 34.4% 32.4% 35.3% 41.4%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026 $93.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
16 December 2025 $93.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 October 2025 $94.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2025 $90.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
17 December 2024 $96.13 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
04 November 2024 $97.96 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
12 April 2024 $85.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023 $73.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2023 $81.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2023 $83.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
20 September 2022 $89.92 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $92.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
09 May 2022 $97.33 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2022 $100.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 January 2022 $106.41 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021 $103.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
28 September 2021 $94.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2021 $83.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 September 2020 $69.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2020 $77.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
13 December 2019 $79.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
08 November 2019 $79.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
24 December 2018 $62.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2018 $67.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2018 $64.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
27 October 2016 $59.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
09 September 2016 $62.82 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
14 January 2016 $54.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 August 2015 $52.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2015 $54.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
30 April 2015 $56.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
06 March 2015 $56.37 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
15 September 2014 $51.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 December 2013 $43.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2013 $43.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 June 2013 $46.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 October 2012 $42.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2012 $39.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 October 2011 $31.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 August 2011 $36.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
06 July 2010 $28.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2010 $29.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 July 2009 $18.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2009 $15.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2008 $18.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2008 $32.61 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
15 July 2008 $30.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 June 2008 $35.77 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 January 2008 $34.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
08 November 2007 $37.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 July 2007 $39.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2007 $41.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 May 2007 $43.80 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 May 2006 $34.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2005 $30.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2005 $26.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 January 2005 $27.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 April 2004 $23.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2003 $16.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 October 2002 $15.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 July 2002 $16.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
17 September 2001 $15.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 March 2001 $14.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2000 $13.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026 $93.49 204.4 175.3 215.0 262.7
16 December 2025 $93.88 37.4 44.3 52.1
13 October 2025 $94.04 16.0 19.0 15.2
04 April 2025 $90.76 30.4 21.5 27.1 11.6
17 December 2024 $96.13
04 November 2024 $97.96
12 April 2024 $85.10 21.9 26.7 33.6 40.6 54.1
25 October 2023 $73.74 1,173.1 1,327.2 2,609.5 469.4 288.9
21 September 2023 $81.91 27.6 29.6 38.0 52.1 21.6
10 March 2023 $83.42 15.6 18.7 9.9 12.7
20 September 2022 $89.92 14.2
10 June 2022 $92.98 44.9 54.3 54.2 69.4
09 May 2022 $97.33 19.9
23 February 2022 $100.34 116.9 90.5 117.4 86.1
20 January 2022 $106.41 21.6
28 September 2021 $103.31 124.7 142.6 46.6 47.2
28 September 2021 $94.90 124.7 142.6 117.3 178.2 107.8
31 March 2021 $83.93 143.6 175.3 122.4 73.7 53.6
24 September 2020 $69.23 1,173.5 591.4 999.9 106.4 92.0
28 February 2020 $77.46 3,422.9 6,933.8 8.9 11.2
13 December 2019 $79.07 68.8 72.5 56.4 75.3
08 November 2019 $79.55 29.4 33.3 32.0 42.6
24 December 2018 $62.49 185.0 225.9 200.7 170.2 95.9
27 September 2018 $67.03 15.2 18.2 20.8 21.9 21.5
10 January 2018 $64.51 10.6 12.8 12.8
27 October 2016 $59.69 16.4 19.7 17.1 11.9
09 September 2016 $62.82 5.0
14 January 2016 $54.31 36.7 40.9 52.0 58.0 44.4
24 August 2015 $52.99 47.3 49.4 57.7 18.4 23.9
05 June 2015 $54.10 27.2 16.4 9.7 12.3
30 April 2015 $56.00 5.7 6.6 7.7
06 March 2015 $56.37 256.9 249.4
15 September 2014 $51.02 51.3 58.8 48.2 44.2
02 December 2013 $43.82 30.4 35.5 42.8 46.0 32.9
16 August 2013 $43.08 71.5 86.9 53.2 20.6 25.4
04 June 2013 $46.83 5.7 6.6 8.1
25 October 2012 $42.83 26.0 28.8 33.2 25.5 37.9
01 June 2012 $39.50 168.9 113.7 134.6 113.0 24.8
03 October 2011 $31.80 404.9 591.5 333.2 424.2 85.2
03 August 2011 $36.90 10.7 12.8 15.6 16.4
06 July 2010 $28.45 1,844.2 1,987.9 4,246.4 469.5 95.8
20 May 2010 $29.20 826.0 134.1 176.6 66.8 48.6
08 July 2009 $18.17 1,174.3 1,326.2 666.2 916.4 1,076.3
17 February 2009 $15.37 48.5 60.4 73.4 97.8 208.9
12 November 2008 $18.87 98.4 126.5 112.9 170.2 28.4
02 October 2008 $32.61
15 July 2008 $30.96 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 174.1
12 June 2008 $35.77 19.7 24.0
03 January 2008 $34.69 74.4 29.6 34.1 36.4
08 November 2007 $37.67
24 July 2007 $39.49 29.0 35.5 43.6
21 June 2007 $41.42
16 May 2007 $43.80
17 May 2006 $34.62 46.1 54.3 60.2 55.3 50.8
06 October 2005 $30.50 46.1 55.8 34.2 44.2 51.2
23 March 2005 $26.80 68.8 77.7 84.6 86.1 83.1
26 January 2005 $27.22 124.7 24.0 29.0 35.7 44.1
08 April 2004 $23.37 14.4 16.8 21.1 26.5 35.1
22 January 2003 $16.02 35.9 35.5 37.6 47.2 50.8
07 October 2002 $15.78 39.9 27.3 33.6 19.9 31.1
11 July 2002 $16.98 6.1 7.3 8.8 11.2
17 September 2001 $15.25 25.0 23.4 19.0 22.9
23 March 2001 $14.15 66.4 47.2 55.5 53.6 21.1
12 October 2000 $13.47 34.5 37.4 47.7 19.3 24.7

The data for iShares US Real Estate (exchange: ARCX symbol: IYR) was last updated 22 Apr 2026 11:24. Data for this ETF is available from 19 Jun 2000 - 20 Apr 2026.