iShares US Real Estate (IYR) 26 Week Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.53%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 150.62%. Time in market: 5 years 6 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -4.065. Maximum drawdown: 56.63% on 09 March 2009.

About this Chart's Calculations for US Real Estate

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 5.53%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.53%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

26 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 12 14 18 21
2025 33 37 52
2023 64 66 66 78 312
2022 82 78 91 98
2020 5 5 311 327
2018 89 93 99 35 99
2016 37 40 66 92 90
2015 60 96 172 252 311
2013 33 34 62 186 294
2011 81 88 93 98 221
2009 13 14 14 35 41
2008 20 37 44 52 166
2007 37 34 114 63
2004 15 15 16 18 105
2002 11 11 39 277 349
Avg. Days 39 44 83 116 198
CAGR 57.9% 62.2% 37.4% 35% 39.9%

26 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026 $92.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
16 December 2025 $93.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 April 2025 $87.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 January 2025 $89.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 September 2023 $79.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 $85.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $92.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
09 May 2022 $97.33 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022 $102.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 February 2020 $77.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
24 December 2018 $62.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 January 2018 $63.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 November 2016 $58.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
09 February 2016 $51.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 August 2015 $52.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2015 $54.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
16 August 2013 $43.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 October 2011 $31.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 August 2011 $35.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2009 $14.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2008 $18.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2008 $29.14 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
14 July 2008 $31.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 January 2008 $34.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 November 2007 $36.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 July 2007 $37.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 June 2007 $40.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 May 2007 $42.50 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 May 2004 $20.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2002 $16.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

26 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026 $92.90 341.1 356.8 333.6 424.1
16 December 2025 $93.88 37.4 44.3 52.1
07 April 2025 $87.10 227.8 277.9 200.5 56.2
10 January 2025 $89.85 404.9 249.4 90.4
25 September 2023 $79.48 32.1 38.0 49.2 56.2 23.8
23 September 2022 $85.96 15.4 18.5 22.5 30.4
10 June 2022 $92.98 44.9 54.3 54.2 69.4
09 May 2022 $97.33 19.9
27 January 2022 $102.95 33.9 41.7 37.4
28 February 2020 $77.46 3,422.9 6,933.8 8.9 11.2
24 December 2018 $62.49 185.0 225.9 200.7 170.2 95.9
12 January 2018 $63.71 11.7 13.5 16.3
02 November 2016 $58.32 33.3 39.4 26.9 24.1
09 February 2016 $51.00 293.5 277.8 252.0 353.8 109.5
24 August 2015 $52.99 47.3 49.4 57.7 18.4 23.9
05 June 2015 $54.10 27.2 16.4 9.7 12.3
16 August 2013 $43.08 71.5 86.9 53.2 20.6 25.4
03 October 2011 $31.80 404.9 591.5 333.2 424.2 85.2
04 August 2011 $35.69 12.4 13.7 16.9 22.0 22.0
27 February 2009 $14.26 293.6 356.6 564.4 170.3 406.8
12 November 2008 $18.87 98.4 126.5 112.9 170.2 28.4
06 October 2008 $29.14
14 July 2008 $31.47 >10,000 >10,000 2,613.3 4,672.6 170.0
03 January 2008 $34.69 74.4 29.6 34.1 36.4
20 November 2007 $36.10 185.1 249.4 16.0
30 July 2007 $37.48 116.9 51.8 67.9 73.7
26 June 2007 $40.38 19.3
24 May 2007 $42.50 1,173.3
10 May 2004 $20.74 227.9 312.7 419.4 591.0 88.5
19 July 2002 $16.03 405.1 591.3 97.1 13.4 21.0

The data for iShares US Real Estate (exchange: ARCX symbol: IYR) was last updated 22 Apr 2026 11:24. Data for this ETF is available from 19 Jun 2000 - 20 Apr 2026.