iShares Latin America (ILF) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.04%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 118.3%. Time in market: 5 years 311 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -3.667. Maximum drawdown: 23.80% on 31 December 2024.

About this Chart's Calculations for Latin America

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 5.04%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.04%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 12 22 25 36 97
2024 109 125 128 146 206
2023 45 48 54 64 86
2022 34 36 38 70 184
2021 133 137 126 136 138
Avg. Days 66 73 74 90 142
CAGR 31% 33.8% 42.9% 47.2% 59.8%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2025 $24.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 April 2025 $21.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 December 2024 $20.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 November 2024 $23.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2024 $25.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 August 2024 $23.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
03 June 2024 $26.56 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
15 April 2024 $27.42 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
26 September 2023 $25.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
18 August 2023 $25.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
20 March 2023 $22.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2022 $22.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022 $23.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 May 2022 $25.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 November 2021 $23.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2021 $25.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2021 $26.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
17 August 2021 $29.08 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2025 $24.84 340.9 163.0 187.7 162.9 98.6
07 April 2025 $21.76 1,173.9 738.4 561.5 780.0 118.8
31 December 2024 $20.89 124.8 162.9 201.0 207.2 74.9
27 November 2024 $23.77 12.4 14.0 17.2 17.5 25.4
22 October 2024 $25.20 7.3 7.2 8.8 11.3
02 August 2024 $23.93 493.9 739.1 797.2 1,100.0
03 June 2024 $26.56
15 April 2024 $27.42
26 September 2023 $25.26 56.1 55.8 73.3 90.5
18 August 2023 $25.84 22.7 27.3 32.9 34.6
20 March 2023 $22.61 493.9 739.3 232.9 353.8 116.8
13 December 2022 $22.72 88.9 108.2 148.7 129.0 43.6
13 June 2022 $23.88 35.9 42.5 51.2 27.5
02 May 2022 $25.72 168.9 175.4 250.5 302.2
26 November 2021 $23.94 404.9 488.4 48.3 57.1 77.5
22 October 2021 $25.70 16.6 17.6 22.3 26.3 51.2
20 September 2021 $26.70 10.3 12.5 15.6 20.8
17 August 2021 $29.08 8.2 9.8

The data for iShares Latin America (exchange: ARCX symbol: ILF) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:48. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.