iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 4.23%.   Win rate: 94.29%.   Mean CAGR: 145.16%. Time in market: 11 years 200 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -3.501. Maximum drawdown: 34.72% on 24 March 2023.

About this Chart's Calculations for Brazil

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (94.29% * 5.48%) - (5.71% * 16.41%) = 4.23%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 16 16 30
2025 15 20 21 24 112
2024 52 66 156 160 286
2023 30 44 46 68 176
2022 47 48 61 74 48
2021 91 101 88 95 94
Avg. Days 41 49 67 84 143
CAGR 54.4% 54.3% 48.3% 51.3% 59.3%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 January 2026 $36.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 December 2025 $31.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2025 $24.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 March 2025 $24.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 January 2025 $23.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 December 2024 $25.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2024 $29.45 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 July 2024 $28.64 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
06 June 2024 $29.62 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
19 April 2024 $30.49 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 October 2023 $29.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
22 August 2023 $30.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
23 May 2023 $29.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 April 2023 $27.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2023 $26.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2023 $28.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 January 2023 $27.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2022 $30.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
04 November 2022 $34.10 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
03 October 2022 $32.04 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 August 2022 $30.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
06 July 2022 $26.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2022 $35.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 April 2022 $33.52 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
17 March 2022 $33.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
24 January 2022 $29.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 December 2021 $27.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2021 $29.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2021 $32.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 September 2021 $35.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
13 August 2021 $36.94 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 July 2021 $38.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 April 2021 $33.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2021 $31.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2021 $35.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 January 2026 $36.58 204.4 277.9 141.2
23 December 2025 $31.44 256.7 108.2 148.2 231.9 535.1
10 April 2025 $24.28 341.1 413.6 661.0 916.8 60.9
05 March 2025 $24.32 340.9 488.8 802.9 1,100.5 46.0
07 January 2025 $23.20 143.6 175.3 216.0 218.9 69.6
04 December 2024 $25.46 18.5 15.8 18.4 24.3 26.2
12 August 2024 $29.45
09 July 2024 $28.64 59.8 68.0
06 June 2024 $29.62
19 April 2024 $30.49 257.0 356.7
09 October 2023 $29.54 116.9 142.5 166.3 170.2
22 August 2023 $30.84 93.4 29.2 37.5 47.8
23 May 2023 $29.17 227.9 277.7 372.5 386.1 38.6
20 April 2023 $27.90 103.8 64.0 75.5 106.4 100.0
20 March 2023 $26.30 493.7 163.0 232.5 353.9 120.8
14 February 2023 $28.42 17.4 20.9 26.4 35.3 24.7
09 January 2023 $27.96 >10,000 962.6 419.7 26.3 40.2
06 December 2022 $30.64 9.8 11.8 14.3 16.3
04 November 2022 $34.10
03 October 2022 $32.04 77.6 98.6
09 August 2022 $30.78 37.4 46.2 43.5 49.9
06 July 2022 $26.43 124.7 163.0 231.5 231.9 427.9
01 June 2022 $35.30
29 April 2022 $33.52 88.9 113.7
17 March 2022 $33.46 8,480.7 6,941.8 >10,000 >10,000
24 January 2022 $29.48 >10,000 >10,000 2,624.4 591.0 221.4
21 December 2021 $27.50 88.9 108.2 148.2 218.9 228.2
19 November 2021 $29.44 155.3 36.1 42.8 52.1 72.5
18 October 2021 $32.66 14.1 14.9 18.8 25.3 48.6
14 September 2021 $35.30 9.8 11.8 14.3 19.1
13 August 2021 $36.94 8.0 9.5
12 July 2021 $38.98
05 April 2021 $33.54 185.0 226.0 215.0 196.6 221.4
02 March 2021 $31.64 623.3 277.7 103.9 120.5 162.3
28 January 2021 $35.30 19.7 24.0 29.5 32.4

The data for iShares MSCI Brazil (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWZ) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:42. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.