iShares MSCI United Kingdom (EWU) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 2.89%.   Win rate: 90.12%.   Mean CAGR: 115.42%. Time in market: 37 years 35 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -8.18. Maximum drawdown: 60.99% on 09 March 2009.

About this Chart's Calculations for United Kingdom

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (90.12% * 5.57%) - (9.88% * 21.51%) = 2.89%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 14 20
2022 47 49 151 141 49
2021 118 88 87 228 233
2020 71 72 75 92 156
2019 25 59 65 100
2018 86 96
2016 34 93 111 229
2015 6 6 8 17
2014 43 92 127 174
2012 32 48 58 79 279
2011 16 28 56 111
2010 43 45 110 129 146
2009 15 15 18 24 71
2008 33 44 26 100 204
2007 35 42 54 58
2006 48 48 87 108 223
2003 41 45 45 68 104
2002 83 85 74 93 314
2001 31 76 8 9
2000 26 26 9
Avg. Days 42 53 64 103 177
CAGR 52.8% 49.4% 51.1% 40.2% 45.6%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 March 2026 $45.13 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 April 2025 $34.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2022 $26.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2022 $28.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 July 2022 $29.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 June 2022 $29.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
13 May 2022 $31.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
11 April 2022 $33.96 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 March 2022 $31.92 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
05 November 2021 $33.50 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
04 October 2021 $32.46 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 September 2021 $33.38 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 August 2021 $32.96 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 July 2021 $32.98 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
01 June 2021 $34.12 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 May 2021 $28.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 April 2021 $32.94 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
01 April 2021 $27.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 March 2021 $31.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 November 2020 $21.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2020 $22.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2020 $22.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 April 2020 $20.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2020 $25.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2019 $25.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
14 February 2018 $27.16 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
19 July 2016 $22.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
17 June 2016 $22.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
22 January 2016 $21.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
29 September 2015 $22.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 August 2015 $23.93 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
10 July 2015 $25.91 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
17 December 2014 $24.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 October 2014 $24.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
25 June 2012 $19.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2012 $19.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2011 $19.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
28 November 2011 $18.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
17 October 2011 $19.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
13 September 2011 $18.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
11 August 2011 $18.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
18 March 2011 $20.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
02 December 2010 $19.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 August 2010 $17.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2010 $16.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2010 $17.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2010 $18.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 February 2010 $18.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
30 March 2009 $11.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 February 2009 $11.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2009 $11.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 December 2008 $13.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 November 2008 $12.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2008 $15.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 September 2008 $19.33 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
05 August 2008 $21.51 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 July 2008 $21.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 March 2008 $22.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 February 2008 $23.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 January 2008 $23.15 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 November 2007 $25.44 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 September 2007 $25.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 August 2007 $25.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 March 2007 $23.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 June 2006 $19.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 May 2006 $20.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2003 $9.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2003 $10.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2002 $10.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2002 $10.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2002 $11.74 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
23 July 2002 $10.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 June 2002 $12.06 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
29 October 2001 $12.52 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 September 2001 $11.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 April 2001 $14.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 March 2001 $13.43 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2000 $14.97 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 May 2000 $14.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 April 2000 $15.95 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 February 2000 $16.03 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 March 2026 $45.13 256.9 189.6
10 April 2025 $34.74 3,424.0 1,986.7 802.2 524.1 64.3
11 October 2022 $26.11 257.0 313.0 421.3 281.1 288.9
07 September 2022 $28.48 29.9 34.9 41.5 52.1
26 July 2022 $29.94 15.2 18.2 16.9 14.7
23 June 2022 $29.48 44.9 55.8 18.0 18.7
13 May 2022 $31.29 293.7 356.7 8.2
11 April 2022 $33.96
09 March 2022 $31.92 293.4 175.4
05 November 2021 $33.50
04 October 2021 $32.46 19.7 24.0
02 September 2021 $33.38
02 August 2021 $32.96 11.1
02 July 2021 $32.98 9.3
01 June 2021 $34.12
04 May 2021 $28.44 54.4 12.5 15.7 21.2 30.1
29 April 2021 $32.94 7.0
01 April 2021 $27.49 66.4 80.5 96.6 17.7 36.5
29 March 2021 $31.42 133.5 75.0 87.4 12.8
02 November 2020 $21.16 >10,000 >10,000 4,194.4 >10,000 755.8
20 July 2020 $22.94 17.1 20.5 24.9 29.2 48.6
16 June 2020 $22.84 12.9 15.5 18.8 22.7 39.0
07 April 2020 $20.40 133.5 162.9 233.1 86.1 34.8
04 March 2020 $25.55 6.0 7.2 9.0 12.0 24.1
19 August 2019 $25.03 103.8 43.4 50.0 41.6
14 February 2018 $27.16 23.0 24.8
19 July 2016 $22.68 43.8 10.2 11.4 12.7
17 June 2016 $22.31 8,467.4 6,925.6 8,018.4 11.8
22 January 2016 $21.34 43.8 47.2 38.0 48.5
29 September 2015 $22.54 1,845.7 3,359.9 2,613.2 674.0
27 August 2015 $23.93
10 July 2015 $25.91
17 December 2014 $24.40 42.8 45.2 50.0 27.8
20 October 2014 $24.87 61.8 18.2 15.0 18.4
25 June 2012 $19.54 110.0 72.5 85.0 60.0 24.4
22 May 2012 $19.36 54.4 44.3 43.5 51.3 30.1
30 December 2011 $19.57 68.8 83.6 96.5 14.8
28 November 2011 $18.59 >10,000 1,989.0 108.3 80.3
17 October 2011 $19.32 493.4 738.3 27.4 32.7
13 September 2011 $18.40 77.6 98.6 90.7 120.5
11 August 2011 $18.55 8,496.8 34.9 41.4 57.1
18 March 2011 $20.49 169.1 206.2 93.6
02 December 2010 $19.43 71.5 90.5 75.7 66.8
27 August 2010 $17.54 293.5 249.2 201.2 170.2 58.7
11 June 2010 $16.21 74.5 94.4 87.5 113.0 77.5
10 May 2010 $17.28 23.6 28.8 33.7 28.9 45.3
08 March 2010 $18.16 66.3 77.7 13.2 15.7
02 February 2010 $18.08 33.3 34.9 11.4 14.7
30 March 2009 $11.22 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 569.3
24 February 2009 $11.44 61.8 77.7 103.9 97.8 155.3
21 January 2009 $11.82 1,174.5 1,987.9 419.6 524.4 86.3
19 December 2008 $13.07 185.3 225.8 332.6 25.9 36.1
17 November 2008 $12.63 405.2 108.2 148.1 100.5 41.2
14 October 2008 $15.78 6.3 7.5 8.9 11.2
10 September 2008 $19.33
05 August 2008 $21.51
02 July 2008 $21.94
31 March 2008 $22.67 1,174.0 225.8 127.7
26 February 2008 $23.74
25 January 2008 $23.15 19.9 20.9
23 November 2007 $25.44
05 September 2007 $25.39 81.0 80.5 63.0
01 August 2007 $25.16 33.9 38.7 45.1
07 March 2007 $23.36 204.4 119.8 104.3 82.2
27 June 2006 $19.77 81.0 103.2 117.3 72.2 47.9
25 May 2006 $20.42 30.5 37.4 20.6 25.5 27.2
13 March 2003 $9.91 825.1 1,325.3 2,622.5 138.7 137.3
30 January 2003 $10.25 27.2 29.6 37.5 43.7 65.5
29 October 2002 $10.89 116.8 152.0 14.1 17.2 20.9
27 September 2002 $10.47 169.2 225.8 336.3 88.2 28.8
26 August 2002 $11.74 6.4 7.5
23 July 2002 $10.42 >10,000 3,356.8 7,881.3 >10,000 22.4
19 June 2002 $12.06
29 October 2001 $12.52 30.4 11.3
25 September 2001 $11.44 >10,000 3,356.0 2,630.4 4,672.0
27 April 2001 $14.39
26 March 2001 $13.43 103.9 134.1
22 September 2000 $14.97
24 May 2000 $14.85 624.1 962.1 1,798.1
19 April 2000 $15.95
09 February 2000 $16.03 49.9 62.2

The data for iShares MSCI United Kingdom (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWU) was last updated 21 Jul 2026 05:40. Data for this ETF is available from 03 Jan 2000 - 20 Jul 2026.