iShares MSCI Hong Kong (EWH) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: -1.1%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Mean CAGR: 104.05%. Time in market: 10 years 316 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.713. Maximum drawdown: 34.96% on 31 October 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Hong Kong

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (80% * 5.41%) - (20% * 27.14%) = -1.1%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 31 32 46 57 160
2024 74 93 118 128 192
2023 28 194 160 293 299
2022 16 27 32 35 74
Avg. Days 37 86 89 128 181
CAGR 61.8% 28.1% 34.5% 31.2% 44.4%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2025 $18.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2025 $15.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2025 $16.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2024 $16.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2024 $17.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024 $18.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
02 July 2024 $15.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 April 2024 $15.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 January 2024 $15.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 December 2023 $16.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2023 $16.92 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
24 August 2023 $17.66 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
01 March 2023 $20.89 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 November 2022 $17.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2022 $18.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2022 $21.12 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 April 2022 $22.10 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 March 2022 $21.75 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 October 2021 $24.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 September 2021 $24.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2025 $18.67 93.5 113.7 69.5 64.4 44.7
11 April 2025 $15.90 404.8 488.5 798.3 469.4 259.6
21 January 2025 $16.48 66.3 80.5 84.6 120.5 60.9
17 December 2024 $16.70 28.5 34.4 40.2 55.3 41.9
15 November 2024 $17.18 110.0 21.1 16.0 21.3 30.6
14 October 2024 $18.56 7.9 9.3 11.7 13.2
02 July 2024 $15.30 37.5 43.4 39.6 52.1 114.9
02 April 2024 $15.82 81.1 98.6 117.8 149.8 43.9
23 January 2024 $15.74 84.8 54.3 30.0 38.0 30.2
08 December 2023 $16.43 1,175.0 14.8 17.9 12.6 24.9
26 September 2023 $16.92 43.8 9.5
24 August 2023 $17.66
01 March 2023 $20.89
07 November 2022 $17.92 8,491.1 >10,000 4,258.6 7,645.4 535.1
04 October 2022 $18.78 54.4 46.2 59.0 75.3 80.2
16 May 2022 $21.12 227.7 175.4
12 April 2022 $22.10
11 March 2022 $21.75 1,174.6
26 October 2021 $24.74
23 September 2021 $24.20

The data for iShares MSCI Hong Kong (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWH) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:38. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.