iShares MSCI Australia (EWA) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 4.39%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Mean CAGR: 99.69%. Time in market: 4 years 241 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.998. Maximum drawdown: 23.61% on 12 October 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Australia

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (93.75% * 5.66%) - (6.25% * 14.6%) = 4.39%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 68 68 69 91 325
2024 94 126 142 16
2023 53 55 61 169 292
2022 58 60 84 88 154
2021 70 73 79
Avg. Days 68 76 87 91 257
CAGR 29.9% 32.3% 35.4% 46.6% 29.6%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 November 2025 $26.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
10 March 2025 $23.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2024 $25.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
05 August 2024 $23.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
27 September 2023 $21.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2023 $21.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
25 May 2023 $21.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
15 March 2023 $21.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 September 2022 $20.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 July 2022 $20.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 June 2022 $22.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
09 May 2022 $23.48 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
21 January 2022 $23.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 November 2021 $24.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
20 September 2021 $24.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
08 July 2021 $25.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 November 2025 $26.40 23.6 28.8 35.9 42.1
10 March 2025 $23.52 39.9 49.4 64.6 51.3 22.7
12 December 2024 $25.28 10.4 9.1 10.2
05 August 2024 $23.10 825.9 738.4 1,005.2 780.0
27 September 2023 $21.34 33.9 39.4 41.7 57.1 25.6
16 August 2023 $21.69 16.6 19.7 25.1 34.0
25 May 2023 $21.69 143.5 175.3 231.1 18.8
15 March 2023 $21.83 204.5 206.3 148.7 13.3
23 September 2022 $20.06 59.8 62.2 75.1 109.6 78.4
14 July 2022 $20.58 1,173.1 1,328.1 658.4 590.8 40.9
10 June 2022 $22.42 10.8 13.1 12.8 16.5
09 May 2022 $23.48 168.9 152.1
21 January 2022 $23.62 39.1 47.2 60.2 75.3
26 November 2021 $24.66 16.6 19.7 23.9
20 September 2021 $24.76 103.8 108.2 112.4
08 July 2021 $25.64

The data for iShares MSCI Australia (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWA) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:37. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.