iShares MSCI Peru & Global Exposure (EPU) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 5.25%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 125.41%. Time in market: 5 years 57 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.139. Maximum drawdown: 29.21% on 20 August 2021.

About this Chart's Calculations for Peru

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 5.25%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.25%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 14 46 49 50 129
2024 62 73 76 87 230
2023 54 56 66 96 201
2022 38 41 45 47 168
2021 71 73 123 140 140
Avg. Days 47 57 71 84 173
CAGR 46.1% 45.2% 45% 51.3% 46.9%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026 $90.04 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 April 2025 $40.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2025 $40.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2024 $40.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2024 $39.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2024 $40.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 October 2023 $29.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 August 2023 $31.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2023 $29.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022 $25.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2022 $26.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2022 $26.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 July 2022 $24.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2022 $30.92 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
29 April 2022 $32.03 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
08 February 2022 $32.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
07 December 2021 $28.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 September 2021 $27.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2021 $26.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2021 $28.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 June 2021 $34.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
03 May 2021 $31.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
30 March 2021 $33.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026 $90.04
10 April 2025 $40.90 8,478.0 3,362.0 661.5 281.1 123.0
27 January 2025 $40.14 256.8 58.8 71.4 100.5 67.5
24 December 2024 $40.32 44.9 30.5 37.4 50.6 50.4
08 August 2024 $39.02 52.8 65.9 75.5 103.4 25.0
20 June 2024 $40.76 20.4 24.2 30.9 31.5
10 October 2023 $29.43 54.4 68.0 51.1 72.2 59.8
23 August 2023 $31.92 16.6 20.1 24.6 21.1 38.8
01 June 2023 $29.01 1,846.8 488.6 481.6 128.9 29.3
14 October 2022 $25.18 293.6 249.5 273.5 469.6 122.9
12 September 2022 $26.83 38.3 44.3 56.3 75.3 24.5
09 August 2022 $26.28 23.0 27.0 33.3 45.4 53.6
06 July 2022 $24.68 71.5 90.5 112.9 162.9 66.8
01 June 2022 $30.92
29 April 2022 $32.03
08 February 2022 $32.70 1,173.1 1,327.5 231.6 262.7
07 December 2021 $28.95 88.9 103.2 134.2 170.2 155.3
14 September 2021 $27.10 84.8 103.2 140.8 207.2 74.9
12 August 2021 $26.48 36.7 41.7 53.0 73.7 55.4
07 July 2021 $28.48 18.9 22.9 27.1 20.6 35.0
04 June 2021 $34.05 6.8 8.0 9.9 12.3
03 May 2021 $31.96 1,172.6 1,987.3 2,601.7 3,143.8
30 March 2021 $33.88 826.3 962.7 8.0 10.3

The data for iShares MSCI Peru & Global Exposure (exchange: ARCX symbol: EPU) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:36. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.