Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) 50 Day Lows
About this Chart's Calculations for Agriculture
Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (76.25% * 4.87%) - (23.75% * 17.39%) = -0.42%. To be a profitable trader
you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be
a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections
This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.
| Date |
Days to Reach Profit Target |
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 2025 |
68 |
87 |
|
|
|
| 2024 |
22 |
25 |
46 |
53 |
195 |
| 2023 |
62 |
65 |
93 |
125 |
125 |
| 2022 |
127 |
152 |
184 |
217 |
|
| 2021 |
16 |
17 |
20 |
86 |
194 |
| 2020 |
158 |
159 |
169 |
181 |
220 |
| 2019 |
86 |
24 |
56 |
95 |
|
| 2018 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
| 2017 |
11 |
28 |
|
|
|
| 2016 |
50 |
57 |
113 |
135 |
|
| 2015 |
156 |
137 |
190 |
192 |
|
| 2014 |
26 |
32 |
33 |
35 |
96 |
| 2013 |
205 |
207 |
209 |
214 |
|
| 2012 |
87 |
88 |
111 |
97 |
|
| 2011 |
59 |
41 |
21 |
|
|
| 2010 |
145 |
162 |
165 |
177 |
227 |
| 2009 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
63 |
81 |
| 2008 |
27 |
30 |
37 |
41 |
189 |
| 2007 |
38 |
42 |
48 |
82 |
166 |
| Avg. Days |
72
|
76
|
94
|
119
|
165
|
| CAGR |
28.1%
|
32.3%
|
32.4%
|
34%
|
49.7%
|
50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to
see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date |
Price |
Performance (mouseover for details) |
|
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 22 December 2025 |
$25.44
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 28 October 2025 |
$26.18
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 26 June 2025 |
$26.11
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 07 April 2025 |
$25.66
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 01 August 2024 |
$23.42
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 15 December 2023 |
$21.44
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 10 January 2023 |
$19.48
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 09 December 2022 |
$19.61
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 18 October 2022 |
$20.00
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 22 June 2022 |
$21.39
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 08 July 2021 |
$17.68
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 08 July 2021 |
$16.82
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 29 March 2021 |
$16.04
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 26 June 2020 |
$12.60
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 21 April 2020 |
$12.70
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 06 March 2020 |
$14.36
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 31 January 2020 |
$14.92
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 06 September 2019 |
$13.94
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 31 July 2019 |
$15.04
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 25 April 2019 |
$15.20
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 11 February 2019 |
$15.75
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 21 December 2018 |
$15.80
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 28 September 2018 |
$15.66
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 23 August 2018 |
$15.78
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 17 July 2018 |
$16.06
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 15 June 2018 |
$17.04
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 04 April 2018 |
$17.12
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 06 December 2017 |
$17.37
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 15 August 2017 |
$17.57
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 22 June 2017 |
$17.67
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 27 March 2017 |
$18.49
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 01 December 2016 |
$18.39
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 30 September 2016 |
$18.58
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 29 August 2016 |
$18.93
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 22 July 2016 |
$19.14
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 20 January 2016 |
$18.38
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 16 December 2015 |
$18.81
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 09 November 2015 |
$19.05
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 24 July 2015 |
$20.21
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 27 May 2015 |
$20.28
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 20 April 2015 |
$20.49
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 25 February 2015 |
$21.23
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 13 January 2015 |
$22.83
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 11 December 2014 |
$23.33
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 15 September 2014 |
$23.53
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 12 August 2014 |
$24.15
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 01 July 2014 |
$25.33
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 27 May 2014 |
$25.80
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 17 January 2014 |
$22.42
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 16 December 2013 |
$22.77
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 07 November 2013 |
$23.00
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 29 July 2013 |
$22.80
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 21 June 2013 |
$23.43
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 16 May 2013 |
$23.67
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 02 April 2013 |
$23.97
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 26 February 2013 |
$24.27
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 23 January 2013 |
$25.64
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 20 December 2012 |
$26.06
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 09 November 2012 |
$26.59
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 26 September 2012 |
$27.02
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 14 May 2012 |
$24.36
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 10 April 2012 |
$25.60
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 09 March 2012 |
$26.33
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 18 November 2011 |
$27.26
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 21 September 2011 |
$29.14
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 08 August 2011 |
$29.20
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 23 June 2011 |
$29.60
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 12 May 2011 |
$29.94
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 14 May 2010 |
$22.16
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 04 March 2010 |
$23.16
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 27 January 2010 |
$23.64
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 07 July 2009 |
$22.36
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 02 March 2009 |
$21.20
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 21 November 2008 |
$21.56
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 10 October 2008 |
$22.70
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
check_box_outline_blank
|
| 05 September 2008 |
$30.17
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 04 August 2008 |
$31.73
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 02 May 2008 |
$32.79
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
disabled_by_default
|
| 16 August 2007 |
$23.05
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 08 May 2007 |
$22.32
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
| 30 March 2007 |
$22.97
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
select_check_box
|
50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year.
Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF
at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude
dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.
| Date |
Price |
Gains / CAGR |
|
|
5% |
6% |
7.5% |
10% |
20% |
| 22 December 2025 |
$25.44
|
25.3
|
25.4
|
|
|
|
| 28 October 2025 |
$26.18
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 26 June 2025 |
$26.11
|
36.7
|
30.0
|
|
|
|
| 07 April 2025 |
$25.66
|
204.4
|
226.0
|
84.5
|
|
|
| 01 August 2024 |
$23.42
|
124.7
|
134.1
|
77.7
|
92.8
|
40.7
|
| 15 December 2023 |
$21.44
|
22.7
|
27.3
|
34.1
|
44.8
|
70.3
|
| 10 January 2023 |
$19.48
|
59.8
|
65.9
|
31.4
|
25.0
|
|
| 09 December 2022 |
$19.61
|
27.2
|
18.9
|
22.7
|
20.3
|
|
| 18 October 2022 |
$20.00
|
10.3
|
12.4
|
11.7
|
15.2
|
|
| 22 June 2022 |
$21.39
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 08 July 2021 |
$17.68
|
293.5
|
357.0
|
335.3
|
35.3
|
33.9
|
| 08 July 2021 |
$16.82
|
293.3
|
357.2
|
334.9
|
35.0
|
62.0
|
| 29 March 2021 |
$16.04
|
124.7
|
142.6
|
188.0
|
232.0
|
35.9
|
| 26 June 2020 |
$12.60
|
68.8
|
83.6
|
71.3
|
73.7
|
42.7
|
| 21 April 2020 |
$12.70
|
19.3
|
22.7
|
24.7
|
30.2
|
30.0
|
| 06 March 2020 |
$14.36
|
6.1
|
7.3
|
9.1
|
12.1
|
20.7
|
| 31 January 2020 |
$14.92
|
5.4
|
6.5
|
8.1
|
10.5
|
|
| 06 September 2019 |
$13.94
|
155.4
|
142.5
|
60.1
|
44.2
|
|
| 31 July 2019 |
$15.04
|
12.3
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 April 2019 |
$15.20
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 February 2019 |
$15.75
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 December 2018 |
$15.80
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28 September 2018 |
$15.66
|
168.9
|
|
|
|
|
| 23 August 2018 |
$15.78
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 17 July 2018 |
$16.06
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 June 2018 |
$17.04
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 04 April 2018 |
$17.12
|
84.8
|
|
|
|
|
| 06 December 2017 |
$17.37
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 August 2017 |
$17.57
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 June 2017 |
$17.67
|
405.1
|
113.7
|
|
|
|
| 27 March 2017 |
$18.49
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 01 December 2016 |
$18.39
|
46.0
|
|
|
|
|
| 30 September 2016 |
$18.58
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 29 August 2016 |
$18.93
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 July 2016 |
$19.14
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 January 2016 |
$18.38
|
39.1
|
45.2
|
26.3
|
29.4
|
|
| 16 December 2015 |
$18.81
|
12.8
|
13.4
|
16.8
|
22.3
|
|
| 09 November 2015 |
$19.05
|
9.0
|
10.8
|
13.4
|
17.8
|
|
| 24 July 2015 |
$20.21
|
5.7
|
|
|
|
|
| 27 May 2015 |
$20.28
|
68.8
|
83.6
|
|
|
|
| 20 April 2015 |
$20.49
|
28.1
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 February 2015 |
$21.23
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 January 2015 |
$22.83
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 December 2014 |
$23.33
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 September 2014 |
$23.53
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 12 August 2014 |
$24.15
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 01 July 2014 |
$25.33
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 27 May 2014 |
$25.80
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 17 January 2014 |
$22.42
|
98.3
|
94.3
|
123.0
|
170.1
|
100.0
|
| 16 December 2013 |
$22.77
|
32.1
|
38.7
|
49.0
|
63.2
|
|
| 07 November 2013 |
$23.00
|
18.7
|
22.5
|
27.3
|
35.0
|
|
| 29 July 2013 |
$22.80
|
9.1
|
10.9
|
13.6
|
17.7
|
|
| 21 June 2013 |
$23.43
|
7.6
|
9.0
|
11.1
|
14.6
|
|
| 16 May 2013 |
$23.67
|
6.5
|
7.7
|
9.5
|
12.6
|
|
| 02 April 2013 |
$23.97
|
5.5
|
6.6
|
8.2
|
10.8
|
|
| 26 February 2013 |
$24.27
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 23 January 2013 |
$25.64
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 December 2012 |
$26.06
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 09 November 2012 |
$26.59
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 26 September 2012 |
$27.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 May 2012 |
$24.36
|
49.9
|
58.8
|
71.5
|
95.2
|
|
| 10 April 2012 |
$25.60
|
23.0
|
28.1
|
31.3
|
27.8
|
|
| 09 March 2012 |
$26.33
|
14.4
|
17.5
|
15.0
|
|
|
| 18 November 2011 |
$27.26
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 September 2011 |
$29.14
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 08 August 2011 |
$29.20
|
623.5
|
312.9
|
252.3
|
|
|
| 23 June 2011 |
$29.60
|
33.9
|
37.4
|
|
|
|
| 12 May 2011 |
$29.94
|
17.8
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 May 2010 |
$22.16
|
33.3
|
32.3
|
41.0
|
52.1
|
55.4
|
| 04 March 2010 |
$23.16
|
12.3
|
12.3
|
15.0
|
19.4
|
31.2
|
| 27 January 2010 |
$23.64
|
8.5
|
9.7
|
12.1
|
14.7
|
26.2
|
| 07 July 2009 |
$22.36
|
93.4
|
119.9
|
166.4
|
38.8
|
|
| 02 March 2009 |
$21.20
|
256.7
|
312.7
|
374.5
|
424.3
|
127.4
|
| 21 November 2008 |
$21.56
|
98.4
|
90.5
|
112.2
|
138.6
|
42.2
|
| 10 October 2008 |
$22.70
|
>10,000
|
>10,000
|
35.0
|
17.0
|
|
| 05 September 2008 |
$30.17
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 04 August 2008 |
$31.73
|
185.0
|
249.5
|
|
|
|
| 02 May 2008 |
$32.79
|
59.8
|
70.2
|
93.5
|
128.9
|
|
| 16 August 2007 |
$23.05
|
155.4
|
189.6
|
122.3
|
170.2
|
84.1
|
| 08 May 2007 |
$22.32
|
116.9
|
98.6
|
112.4
|
156.1
|
59.8
|
| 30 March 2007 |
$22.97
|
27.2
|
32.3
|
40.9
|
22.1
|
30.8
|
The data for Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: DBA) was last updated 22 Apr 2026 11:20.
Data for this ETF is available from 05 Jan 2007 - 20 Apr 2026.
ETF Sector Data aims to be the #1 online resource for anyone interested in ETF sector investment rotation strategies.
All of the stocks featured on this website are widely available US listed exchange traded funds.
To make price and performance comparisons more straightforward, all stock prices are listed in US dollars.