Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) 52 Week Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 1.47%.   Win rate: 82.35%.   Mean CAGR: 36.51%. Time in market: 24 years 282 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -5.807. Maximum drawdown: 24.72% on 27 April 2020.

About this Chart's Calculations for Agriculture

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (82.35% * 5.2%) - (17.65% * 15.91%) = 1.47%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

52 Week Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 79 94 123 128
2023 25 32 81 144
2020 67 69 84 97 220
2019 120 122 126
2018 18
2017 45 56
2016 54 57 113 135
2015 156 137 190 192
2013 221 224 226 230 114
2012 65 66 73 97
2011 250 296
2010 62 76 77 83 151
2008 26 33 35 40 189
Avg. Days 91 105 112 127 168
CAGR 21.6% 22.5% 26.6% 31.5% 48.6%

52 Week Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 December 2025 $25.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
20 January 2023 $19.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 June 2020 $12.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2020 $12.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020 $13.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2019 $14.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 April 2019 $15.20 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
20 February 2019 $15.64 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
28 September 2018 $15.66 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
13 August 2018 $15.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 June 2018 $16.76 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 December 2017 $17.00 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 August 2017 $17.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 June 2017 $17.67 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2017 $18.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2016 $18.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
16 December 2015 $18.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
09 November 2015 $19.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
24 July 2015 $20.21 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 May 2015 $20.28 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
20 April 2015 $20.49 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
25 February 2015 $21.23 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2015 $22.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 December 2013 $22.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 July 2013 $22.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
21 June 2013 $23.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
16 May 2013 $23.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
04 April 2013 $23.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
14 May 2012 $24.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 April 2012 $25.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 November 2011 $26.78 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
14 May 2010 $22.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 November 2008 $21.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2008 $24.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank

52 Week Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 December 2025 $25.44 25.3 25.4 23.9 31.2
20 January 2023 $19.34 103.9 94.3 38.5 27.3
26 June 2020 $12.60 68.8 83.6 71.3 73.7 42.7
21 April 2020 $12.70 19.3 22.7 24.7 30.2 30.0
12 March 2020 $13.72 7.4 8.9 10.8 12.6 24.0
12 August 2019 $14.54 16.0 19.0 23.4
25 April 2019 $15.20
20 February 2019 $15.64
28 September 2018 $15.66 168.9
13 August 2018 $15.82
19 June 2018 $16.76
11 December 2017 $17.00 24.9 28.8
15 August 2017 $17.57
22 June 2017 $17.67 405.1 113.7
04 April 2017 $18.16
20 January 2016 $18.38 39.1 45.2 26.3 29.4
16 December 2015 $18.81 12.8 13.4 16.8 22.3
09 November 2015 $19.05 9.0 10.8 13.4 17.8
24 July 2015 $20.21 5.7
27 May 2015 $20.28 68.8 83.6
20 April 2015 $20.49 28.1
25 February 2015 $21.23
20 January 2015 $22.28
31 December 2013 $22.53 48.6 54.4 69.6 88.2 79.3
29 July 2013 $22.80 9.1 10.9 13.6 17.7
21 June 2013 $23.43 7.6 9.0 11.1 14.6
16 May 2013 $23.67 6.5 7.7 9.5 12.6
04 April 2013 $23.93 5.6 6.6 8.2 10.9
14 May 2012 $24.36 49.9 58.8 71.5 95.2
10 April 2012 $25.60 23.0 28.1 31.3 27.8
23 November 2011 $26.78 7.4 7.5
14 May 2010 $22.16 33.3 32.3 41.0 52.1 55.4
21 November 2008 $21.56 98.4 90.5 112.2 138.6 42.2
06 October 2008 $24.01 8.1 9.8 11.9 15.7

The data for Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: DBA) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:46. Data for this ETF is available from 05 Jan 2007 - 29 Apr 2026.