Invesco MSCI Global Timber (CUT) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 3.67%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Mean CAGR: 99.55%. Time in market: 6 years 196 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.63. Maximum drawdown: 24.74% on 29 September 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Global Timber

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (93.75% * 5.11%) - (6.25% * 18.04%) = 3.67%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 134 75 134 143
2024 23 25 32 45
2023 67 121 135 63 349
2022 39 37 44 27
2021 49 68 76
Avg. Days 62 65 84 69 349
CAGR 33.3% 38.7% 36.9% 65.6% 21%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 October 2025 $28.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
25 September 2025 $29.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
31 July 2025 $29.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
13 March 2025 $31.13 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 December 2024 $32.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 August 2024 $31.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
01 February 2024 $30.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
03 October 2023 $29.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023 $28.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 February 2023 $30.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
16 September 2022 $30.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
14 July 2022 $30.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 June 2022 $33.51 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
24 February 2022 $34.77 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 November 2021 $35.88 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2021 $36.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021 $36.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 October 2025 $28.11 30.4 35.5 43.7 43.1
25 September 2025 $29.19 15.7 17.3 21.2 28.7
31 July 2025 $29.58 293.5 163.0 14.7 19.6
13 March 2025 $31.13 5.5
18 December 2024 $32.88
05 August 2024 $31.56 404.7 312.9 333.3 128.9
01 February 2024 $30.36 66.3 80.6 75.3 103.4
03 October 2023 $29.30 52.8 46.2 57.7 63.2 21.0
31 May 2023 $28.37 1,174.2 356.8 84.9 86.1 21.0
24 February 2023 $30.12 12.3 7.5 9.0
16 September 2022 $30.01 38.3 37.4 42.2
14 July 2022 $30.16 1,844.5 1,987.3 560.4 262.8
10 June 2022 $33.51
24 February 2022 $34.77 37.4
30 November 2021 $35.88 49.9
30 September 2021 $36.38
18 June 2021 $36.50 39.1 36.7 41.5

The data for Invesco MSCI Global Timber (exchange: ARCX symbol: CUT) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:32. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.