VanEck Oil Refiners (CRAK) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 4.96%.   Win rate: 100%.   Mean CAGR: 104.08%. Time in market: 4 years 218 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.088. Maximum drawdown: 31.29% on 07 April 2025.

About this Chart's Calculations for Oil Refiners

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (100% * 4.96%) - (0% * 0%) = 4.96%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2024 173 281 292 267 278
2023 25 37 46 111 162
2022 27 33 34 83 48
2021 41 43 46 57 188
Avg. Days 66 98 104 129 169
CAGR 31% 24.2% 28.9% 31% 48.3%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 $27.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2024 $30.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2024 $33.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
12 September 2024 $33.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
19 July 2024 $34.94 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
29 May 2024 $36.02 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
04 October 2023 $32.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023 $29.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2023 $29.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 $27.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 June 2022 $29.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
26 November 2021 $26.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2021 $26.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 July 2021 $28.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 $27.48 57.9 72.5 96.8 76.9 111.2
12 December 2024 $30.64 10.0 12.0 14.0 18.7 27.0
15 October 2024 $33.00 5.9 7.1 8.7 11.1
12 September 2024 $33.16 124.7 6.3 7.6
19 July 2024 $34.94
29 May 2024 $36.02
04 October 2023 $32.61 74.5 68.0 63.2 29.9 44.1
16 May 2023 $29.64 77.6 45.2 50.1 64.4 73.3
15 March 2023 $29.68 293.6 313.0 301.1 30.2 43.9
23 September 2022 $27.01 405.1 591.7 806.3 187.0 300.0
30 June 2022 $29.64 51.3 47.2 60.1 29.9
26 November 2021 $26.87 57.9 68.0 87.7 109.6 44.4
19 August 2021 $26.13 1,847.6 1,328.0 1,002.3 170.2 192.5
15 July 2021 $28.03 25.7 30.0 36.5 46.6 23.0

The data for VanEck Oil Refiners (exchange: ARCX symbol: CRAK) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:32. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.