VanEck Social Sentiment (BUZZ) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 3.53%.   Win rate: 90.32%.   Mean CAGR: 187.93%. Time in market: 9 years 161 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.109. Maximum drawdown: 51.43% on 28 December 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Trending & Meme Stonks

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (90.32% * 5.56%) - (9.68% * 15.44%) = 3.53%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 10
2025 21 22 25 48 70
2024 32 38 48 63 114
2023 29 29 32 67 105
2022 35 61 65 69 158
2021 33 66 20 44
Avg. Days 26 43 38 58 111
CAGR 98.4% 64% 100.3% 82.2% 82.1%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 February 2026 $30.04 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2026 $34.31 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2025 $32.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 November 2025 $35.43 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 May 2025 $26.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2025 $22.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2025 $22.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024 $20.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2024 $21.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 April 2024 $19.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2024 $17.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 November 2023 $16.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 October 2023 $14.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2023 $15.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2023 $15.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2023 $13.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023 $14.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2022 $12.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022 $13.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2022 $12.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 August 2022 $14.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022 $13.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2022 $13.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2022 $14.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
18 April 2022 $17.36 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
15 March 2022 $16.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 February 2022 $19.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 January 2022 $21.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021 $24.26 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 July 2021 $25.40 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 June 2021 $25.48 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 May 2021 $22.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
30 March 2021 $23.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 February 2026 $30.04 493.5
20 January 2026 $34.31
16 December 2025 $32.52 133.5 142.6 156.8
12 November 2025 $35.43
19 May 2025 $26.98 74.4 94.4 108.3 149.8 208.9
15 April 2025 $22.13 493.9 413.5 557.6 673.8 976.7
14 March 2025 $22.74 493.5 738.3 1,008.8 80.3 127.4
03 September 2024 $20.44 116.9 80.5 100.5 90.5 137.3
30 July 2024 $21.04 26.4 32.3 34.0 42.1 76.6
23 April 2024 $19.71 293.8 163.0 82.3 58.0 39.2
19 January 2024 $17.79 155.4 189.8 252.6 281.1 192.5
28 November 2023 $16.70 227.7 277.7 422.0 424.4 104.5
27 October 2023 $14.18 3,421.4 6,940.8 7,893.8 673.9 504.0
25 September 2023 $15.10 43.8 53.0 69.8 73.7 132.2
22 August 2023 $15.79 20.2 24.0 29.3 38.4 48.3
15 March 2023 $13.66 1,843.4 1,987.7 420.7 62.1 104.5
31 January 2023 $14.26 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 33.0 50.8
30 December 2022 $12.04 405.1 488.3 807.3 1,101.1 651.3
01 November 2022 $13.74 21.4 26.0 33.0 45.4 34.1
30 September 2022 $12.78 8,495.3 113.8 133.7 116.7 71.0
29 August 2022 $14.52 12.1 8.1 10.0 12.8 23.2
26 July 2022 $13.93 >10,000 3,365.8 2,571.3 7,636.4 20.9
22 June 2022 $13.05 >10,000 6,936.0 166.1 246.4 370.0
20 May 2022 $14.28 404.8 32.8 42.1 58.0
18 April 2022 $17.36
15 March 2022 $16.24 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
11 February 2022 $19.40
10 January 2022 $21.82
07 December 2021 $24.26
21 July 2021 $25.40 18.9 22.7
15 June 2021 $25.48 293.5 16.4
14 May 2021 $22.76 404.8 488.8 664.4 524.0
30 March 2021 $23.44 1,845.4 961.7 157.0 64.4

The data for VanEck Social Sentiment (exchange: ARCX symbol: BUZZ) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:29. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Mar 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.