iShares MSCI BIC (Brazil, India, China) (BKF) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: -6.6%.   Win rate: 62.50%.   Mean CAGR: 83.13%. Time in market: 14 years 184 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -2.116. Maximum drawdown: 47.18% on 31 October 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for BIC Countries

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (62.5% * 5.75%) - (37.5% * 27.16%) = -6.6%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 101 104 120 126
2024 146 185 209 222 301
2023 199 202 254 267
2022 23 82 95 62 80
Avg. Days 117 143 169 169 190
CAGR 16.4% 16% 16.9% 22.9% 41.9%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2025 $40.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
10 April 2025 $36.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024 $37.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2024 $39.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 August 2023 $33.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
01 March 2023 $34.62 select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
07 November 2022 $31.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2022 $33.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
23 May 2022 $35.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
19 April 2022 $37.41 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2022 $37.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 January 2022 $45.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 December 2021 $47.11 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 July 2021 $50.12 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 April 2021 $53.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 March 2021 $55.50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2025 $40.96 19.3 22.7 24.6 31.8
10 April 2025 $36.40 341.1 488.5 559.9 302.1 55.4
19 November 2024 $37.62 143.6 25.4 25.8 34.0 24.7
18 October 2024 $39.82 6.7 8.0 9.1 11.3
23 August 2023 $33.82 7.4 8.8 10.9 13.9
01 March 2023 $34.62 12.7 15.0
07 November 2022 $31.94 826.3 1,326.6 215.6 231.9 129.7
04 October 2022 $33.19 36.0 40.9 33.7 43.7
23 May 2022 $35.62 204.4 9.1 11.3
19 April 2022 $37.41
16 March 2022 $37.33 293.6 277.8 300.6
11 January 2022 $45.42
08 December 2021 $47.11
29 July 2021 $50.12
06 April 2021 $53.40
03 March 2021 $55.50

The data for iShares MSCI BIC (Brazil, India, China) (exchange: ARCX symbol: BKF) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:28. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.