Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators (BITQ) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 6.49%.   Win rate: 97.87%.   Mean CAGR: 216.67%. Time in market: 5 years 117 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -0.714. Maximum drawdown: 77.85% on 28 December 2022.

About this Chart's Calculations for Crypto Industry

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (97.87% * 7.2%) - (2.13% * 26.12%) = 6.49%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2026 1
2025 32 36 36 40 72
2024 13 15 31 36 106
2023 35 43 45 47 61
2022 40 77 77 99 131
2021 4 11 21 27 37
Avg. Days 20 36 42 49 81
CAGR 143.6% 80.5% 87.5% 103.4% 127.4%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 March 2026 $19.70 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 January 2026 $21.60 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 December 2025 $20.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
25 November 2025 $21.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
24 October 2025 $28.36 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 September 2025 $20.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2025 $19.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2025 $18.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 May 2025 $14.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2025 $12.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 March 2025 $15.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2025 $17.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 December 2024 $18.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2024 $19.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024 $14.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2024 $11.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2024 $11.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 May 2024 $10.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2024 $11.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2024 $11.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2024 $10.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2024 $11.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 November 2023 $7.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2023 $6.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 August 2023 $7.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2023 $9.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2023 $7.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023 $6.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 April 2023 $6.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023 $4.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 February 2023 $6.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2023 $3.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2022 $4.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2022 $6.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2022 $6.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2022 $7.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2022 $7.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2022 $6.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2022 $8.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
14 April 2022 $14.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2022 $14.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2022 $17.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
07 January 2022 $18.98 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2021 $23.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2021 $30.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
01 October 2021 $22.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 August 2021 $25.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2021 $22.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2021 $22.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 March 2026 $19.70 >10,000
30 January 2026 $21.60
29 December 2025 $20.53 1,174.7 1,988.0 4,244.9 7,636.4
25 November 2025 $21.38 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,100.0
24 October 2025 $28.36
09 September 2025 $20.70 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
06 August 2025 $19.43 117.0 86.9 112.9 170.2 406.9
09 June 2025 $18.64 116.9 152.2 214.3 326.3 97.2
06 May 2025 $14.15 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
03 April 2025 $12.14 143.6 189.5 274.0 469.4 892.2
03 March 2025 $15.24 28.5 34.9 45.1 57.1 97.2
28 January 2025 $17.62 14.4 15.5 19.4 25.5 49.0
26 December 2024 $18.66 124.7 108.3 15.1 20.2 28.8
15 November 2024 $19.06 3,419.0 6,938.6 >10,000 1,100.7 24.5
14 October 2024 $14.12 8,467.5 >10,000 4,177.6 7,647.8 1,705.4
10 September 2024 $11.74 622.7 963.5 564.6 1,101.2 608.0
08 August 2024 $11.92 405.1 488.6 805.2 917.7 162.3
14 May 2024 $10.64 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,959.2
12 April 2024 $11.32 59.8 72.5 96.9 92.8 197.7
12 March 2024 $11.94 622.8 963.4 1,773.2 1,101.2 81.2
09 February 2024 $10.30 >10,000 6,921.9 >10,000 >10,000 3,932.9
08 January 2024 $11.17 61.9 75.0 100.7 100.5 53.2
03 November 2023 $7.44 133.4 142.7 185.7 302.5 755.6
02 October 2023 $6.86 81.1 103.1 134.6 103.5 228.2
29 August 2023 $7.57 21.9 26.6 34.2 46.6 100.0
27 July 2023 $9.96 13.2 15.9 20.1 27.1 57.3
20 June 2023 $7.14 >10,000 >10,000 2,596.2 4,684.4 8,347.8
16 May 2023 $6.40 >10,000 3,372.2 547.5 1,102.2 370.0
13 April 2023 $6.82 >10,000 36.1 46.4 65.6 127.4
13 March 2023 $4.61 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
07 February 2023 $6.04 32.7 40.1 49.7 70.8 64.3
04 January 2023 $3.64 3,405.5 6,976.0 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
02 December 2022 $4.39 54.5 67.9 87.7 128.9 324.9
31 October 2022 $6.28 11.5 13.9 17.4 23.5 33.1
27 September 2022 $6.44 1,173.1 1,980.6 4,145.3 19.1 27.4
26 August 2022 $7.86 185.1 7.1 8.9 11.8 23.3
25 July 2022 $7.54 624.3 961.9 1,777.2 4,683.7 >10,000
21 June 2022 $6.46 89.0 113.6 157.1 246.7 892.2
17 May 2022 $8.48 23.9 29.2 37.4 50.6
14 April 2022 $14.58
14 March 2022 $14.20 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
08 February 2022 $17.19 48.6 55.7 73.4 103.4
07 January 2022 $18.98 3,422.2
06 December 2021 $23.92 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
02 November 2021 $30.31 >10,000 3,365.5 7,991.8 >10,000
01 October 2021 $22.70 3,424.9 6,942.4 1,306.9 674.3 1,332.3
30 August 2021 $25.83 8,495.2 >10,000 55.4 75.3 182.9
27 July 2021 $22.33 622.9 963.1 1,297.7 3,143.6 >10,000
24 June 2021 $22.49 3,426.1 66.0 84.8 124.5 324.9

The data for Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators (exchange: ARCX symbol: BITQ) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:27. Data for this ETF is available from 17 May 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.