Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping (BDRY) Mega Dump Lite

Buy signal:            
        [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: 3.96%.   Win rate: 96.08%.   Mean CAGR: 213.41%. Time in market: 14 years 68 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.68. Maximum drawdown: 88.23% on 19 July 2023.

About this Chart's Calculations for Dry Bulk Shipping

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (96.08% * 6.75%) - (3.92% * 64.43%) = 3.96%. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

Mega Dump Lite - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 24 25 26 31 67
2024 21 25 31 62 97
2023 28 29 30 77 131
2022 19 19 20 55 34
2021 6 8 12 17 39
Avg. Days 19 21 23 48 73
CAGR 155.3% 175.3% 215.1% 106.4% 148.8%

Mega Dump Lite - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. check_box_outline_blank = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 December 2025 $8.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 November 2025 $8.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 October 2025 $7.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 July 2025 $7.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2025 $5.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 May 2025 $5.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2025 $5.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2025 $6.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 February 2025 $5.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 January 2025 $5.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2024 $6.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 November 2024 $7.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
10 September 2024 $10.44 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
09 August 2024 $10.80 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
08 July 2024 $11.44 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
04 June 2024 $12.13 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
03 May 2024 $13.48 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 April 2024 $13.92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 February 2024 $12.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2024 $9.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 December 2023 $7.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 November 2023 $5.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 September 2023 $5.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2023 $5.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 July 2023 $5.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 June 2023 $6.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2023 $8.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 March 2023 $9.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2023 $7.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 January 2023 $8.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 December 2022 $8.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
15 November 2022 $7.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022 $9.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
12 September 2022 $9.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
09 August 2022 $11.45 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
08 July 2022 $15.43 check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
06 June 2022 $21.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 May 2022 $21.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
01 April 2022 $23.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 March 2022 $23.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
28 January 2022 $22.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2021 $26.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
22 November 2021 $25.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
19 October 2021 $38.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 September 2021 $29.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2021 $28.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 July 2021 $25.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 June 2021 $23.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 May 2021 $25.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 April 2021 $18.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2021 $14.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2021 $10.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

Mega Dump Lite - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 December 2025 $8.81 109.9 142.4 189.0 302.3 569.4
04 November 2025 $8.14 623.3 960.4 558.0 1,100.0 137.3
03 October 2025 $7.76 1,175.2 737.7 1,321.8 3,149.1 203.2
31 July 2025 $7.40 1,849.2 1,330.0 662.8 1,355.2 84.1
23 June 2025 $5.72 256.8 312.5 483.4 674.0 3,932.9
19 May 2025 $5.34 117.1 142.5 191.0 116.8 259.6
15 April 2025 $5.72 23.9 28.9 36.5 49.9 114.9
14 March 2025 $6.96 15.3 18.6 23.6 27.3 51.2
10 February 2025 $5.76 492.6 739.3 1,322.7 3,151.5 819.1
07 January 2025 $5.66 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 182.9
06 December 2024 $6.48 20.4 24.8 31.6 17.1 31.2
04 November 2024 $7.65 8,529.6 >10,000 4,140.3 >10,000
10 September 2024 $10.44
09 August 2024 $10.80
08 July 2024 $11.44 8,497.0
04 June 2024 $12.13
03 May 2024 $13.48 8,466.9 >10,000
01 April 2024 $13.92
09 February 2024 $12.52 293.7 413.6 554.4 1,101.1 3,219.8
08 January 2024 $9.68 493.5 739.4 1,320.7 3,142.1 976.9
05 December 2023 $7.93 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
02 November 2023 $5.00 8,443.5 3,351.0 4,226.6 >10,000 >10,000
11 September 2023 $5.14 >10,000 >10,000 4,206.7 7,667.7 178.4
08 August 2023 $5.10 1,173.1 1,987.0 4,140.3 7,636.4 97.2
05 July 2023 $5.00 1,173.1 1,987.0 4,458.1 133.6 100.0
02 June 2023 $6.12 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 22.1 46.6
01 May 2023 $8.83 8.8 10.6 13.1 17.7 32.1
28 March 2023 $9.38 >10,000 >10,000 4,284.7 14.1 27.5
22 February 2023 $7.28 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
20 January 2023 $8.95 46.1 57.2 73.0 106.4 21.5
19 December 2022 $8.91 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
15 November 2022 $7.80 133.4 175.1 214.9 354.2 892.2
14 October 2022 $9.20 34.6 41.7 54.1 26.3
12 September 2022 $9.34 826.3 1,324.9 2,604.1 21.2
09 August 2022 $11.45
08 July 2022 $15.43
06 June 2022 $21.58
03 May 2022 $21.88 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 1,100.6
01 April 2022 $23.94 46.1 57.2 75.3
01 March 2022 $23.60 >10,000 3,365.4 7,951.3 >10,000
28 January 2022 $22.20 340.9 488.2 801.8 1,716.8 450.9
27 December 2021 $26.76 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
22 November 2021 $25.26 1,173.1 1,328.5 1,765.8 3,142.1
19 October 2021 $38.64
14 September 2021 $29.88 623.3 962.7 1,299.3 1,352.7 >10,000
13 August 2021 $28.04 3,424.4 6,934.3 1,304.9 144.0 338.8
12 July 2021 $25.72 404.9 103.2 134.0 170.2 155.3
08 June 2021 $23.06 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
07 May 2021 $25.70 >10,000 >10,000 112.8 144.0 62.5
05 April 2021 $18.18 493.8 739.6 1,305.8 1,100.7 1,959.2
02 March 2021 $14.62 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000 >10,000
29 January 2021 $10.10 341.1 413.5 666.8 1,352.7 >10,000

The data for Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping (exchange: ARCX symbol: BDRY) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:26. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 05 Mar 2026.