Amplify Mobile Payments (IPAY) 50 Day Lows

Buy signal:             [ What are these indicators? ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]

Expectancy: -1.64%.   Win rate: 81.25%.   Mean CAGR: 115.48%. Time in market: 7 years 223 days.
Sharpe Ratio: -1.048. Maximum drawdown: 45.37% on 30 October 2023.

About this Chart's Calculations for Mobile Payments

Expectancy calculation (win % x average win) - (loss % x average loss): (81.25% * 5.57%) - (18.75% * 32.86%) = -1.64%.. To be a profitable trader you need to trade with a positive value for expectancy.

Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally it should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return.

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

50 Day Lows - Profit Probability Projections

This table summarises how long it would take after buying the ETF at the 50 day lows to reach the specified percentage return. Note that past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. The calculations exclude the exceptionally volatile month of March 2020. Calculations also exclude dividends and other distributions to shareholders.

Date Days to Reach Profit Target
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
2025 112 121
2024 26 50 61 115
2023 62 68 72 128
2022 50 46 78
2021 10 32 109
Avg. Days 52 63 80 121
CAGR 40.8% 52% 54.5% 73.3%

50 Day Lows - Backtest Trading Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this ETF at each 50 day low. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 January 2026 $49.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 November 2025 $51.77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 October 2025 $56.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2025 $48.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2025 $55.82 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 August 2024 $44.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024 $47.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023 $36.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2023 $39.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023 $41.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 $38.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
13 June 2022 $39.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box check_box_outline_blank
06 May 2022 $44.20 select_check_box check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank check_box_outline_blank
23 February 2022 $49.79 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 January 2022 $52.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2021 $55.06 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2021 $65.01 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 September 2021 $68.68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 May 2021 $65.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

50 Day Lows - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Summary

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows the annual percentage performance had the investment grown at the same rate over one year. Cross reference the figures in the tables below with the backtesting results tables above to see how long it took to achieve profitability after buying this ETF at the specific 50 day low. A red (empty) table cell shows that the specific profit point has not yet been achieved. Calculations exclude dividends or other distributions this fund may distribute to fund holders.

Date Price Gains / CAGR
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 January 2026 $49.62
14 November 2025 $51.77
13 October 2025 $56.57
04 April 2025 $48.40 493.6 301.8 302.1 187.6
04 March 2025 $55.82 17.2 24.4
05 August 2024 $44.56 8,484.9 1,783.8 3,143.4 158.7
29 May 2024 $47.36 43.8 33.2 36.1 51.2
25 October 2023 $36.56 293.6 301.9 469.5 312.0
21 September 2023 $39.68 30.4 45.9 54.5 57.7
17 August 2023 $41.02 17.9 25.3 34.3 41.2
23 September 2022 $38.44 71.5 73.2 37.2
13 June 2022 $39.89 61.8 79.7 113.0
06 May 2022 $44.20 20.4
23 February 2022 $49.79 68.9
21 January 2022 $52.84
20 December 2021 $55.06 1,173.1
02 November 2021 $65.01
29 September 2021 $68.68
13 May 2021 $65.65 293.6 128.0 37.6

The data for Amplify Mobile Payments (exchange: ARCX symbol: IPAY) was last updated 04 Feb 2026 20:07. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 03 Feb 2026.